Football · Poland I Liga · 02/11, 20:30
Prediction: Stal Rzeszow vs Puszcza Niepolomice
Team pages: Stal Rzeszow · Puszcza Niepolomice
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Stal Rzeszow1.63
Puszcza Niepolomice1.48
1X2
Stal Rzeszow
Draw
Puszcza Niepolomice
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Stal Rzeszow
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Puszcza Niepolomice
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stal Rzeszow
2–1–2
Puszcza Niepolomice
(5 last)
- Puszcza Niepolomice4-1Stal Rzeszow
- Stal Rzeszow2-2Puszcza Niepolomice
- Stal Rzeszow1-0Puszcza Niepolomice
- Stal Rzeszow1-0Puszcza Niepolomice
- Puszcza Niepolomice2-1Stal Rzeszow
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stal Rzeszow 1534 · Puszcza Niepolomice 1493
| Stal Rzeszow | Draw | Puszcza Niepolomice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| Market | 39% | 28% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stal Rzeszow (rating 1534 vs 1493).
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stal Rzeszow | Puszcza Niepolomice | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.4 | 2.8 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stal Rzeszow 2–1–2 Puszcza Niepolomice
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Poland I Liga | Puszcza Niepolomice | 4-1 HT 0-0 | Stal Rzeszow |
| 16/08/25 Poland I Liga | Stal Rzeszow | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Puszcza Niepolomice |
| 31/10/23 Poland Cup | Stal Rzeszow | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Puszcza Niepolomice |
| 11/02/23 Poland I Liga | Stal Rzeszow | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Puszcza Niepolomice |
| 23/07/22 Poland I Liga | Puszcza Niepolomice | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Stal Rzeszow |
Standings · Poland I Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Polonia Warsaw | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Ruch Chorzow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | LKS Lodz | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 20 |
| 6 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
| 7 | Miedz Legnica | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Warta Poznan | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | Polonia Bytom | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 18 |
| 10 | Stal Rzeszow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 17 |
| 11 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 12 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
| 14 | Chrobry Glogow | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 13 |
| 16 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 17 | Odra Opole | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 12 |
| 18 | Unia Skierniewice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 11 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stal Rzeszow | Puszcza Niepolomice |
|---|---|---|
| Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| MKP Pogon Siedlce | 4-3 W | 3-1 W |
| Lechia Gdansk | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Odra Opole | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Unia Skierniewice | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Puszcza Niepolomice (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stal Rzeszow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga |
3-0 | 4-3 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/10 | Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Odra Opole Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 05/09 | Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 28/08 | Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 14/08 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
Puszcza Niepolomice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/10 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/10 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 11/10 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | Warta Poznan Poland I Liga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/08 | Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Odra Opole Poland I Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stal Rzeszow vs Puszcza Niepolomice?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stal Rzeszow win (40%). Probabilities: Stal Rzeszow 40%, draw 27%, Puszcza Niepolomice 33%.
How many goals are expected in Stal Rzeszow vs Puszcza Niepolomice?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Stal Rzeszow 1.63 · Puszcza Niepolomice 1.48), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Stal Rzeszow vs Puszcza Niepolomice?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.