Football · Poland I Liga · 07/11, 15:30
Prediction: Warta Poznan vs Polonia Warsaw
Team pages: Warta Poznan · Polonia Warsaw
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Warta Poznan1.39
Polonia Warsaw1.28
1X2
Warta Poznan
Draw
Polonia Warsaw
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Warta Poznan
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Polonia Warsaw
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Warta Poznan
1–1–2
Polonia Warsaw
(4 last)
- Warta Poznan1-2Polonia Warsaw
- Polonia Warsaw2-0Warta Poznan
- Polonia Warsaw1-1Warta Poznan
- Warta Poznan1-0Polonia Warsaw
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Polonia Warsaw: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Warta Poznan | Polonia Warsaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.3 | 3.4 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Warta Poznan 1–1–2 Polonia Warsaw
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/25 Poland I Liga | Warta Poznan | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Polonia Warsaw |
| 23/08/24 Poland I Liga | Polonia Warsaw | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Warta Poznan |
| 18/03/17 Poland II Liga | Polonia Warsaw | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Warta Poznan |
| 24/08/16 Poland II Liga | Warta Poznan | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Polonia Warsaw |
Standings · Poland I Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lechia Gdansk | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 22 |
| 2 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Polonia Warsaw | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Ruch Chorzow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | LKS Lodz | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 21 |
| 6 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 21 |
| 7 | Miedz Legnica | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 19 |
| 8 | Warta Poznan | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 19 |
| 9 | Polonia Bytom | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 18 |
| 10 | Stal Rzeszow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 17 |
| 11 | Stal Mielec | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 16 |
| 12 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 13 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 17 | 15 |
| 13 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 15 | Chrobry Glogow | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
| 16 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 17 | Odra Opole | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 12 |
| 18 | Unia Skierniewice | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 11 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Warta Poznan | Polonia Warsaw |
|---|---|---|
| Arka Gdynia | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Miedz Legnica | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Chrobry Glogow | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Polonia Warsaw (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Warta Poznan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 26/10 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 16/10 | Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 18/09 | Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 04/09 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 21/08 | Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Odra Opole Poland I Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
Polonia Warsaw
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 19/09 | Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 11/09 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 6 | L |
| 07/08 | Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Warta Poznan vs Polonia Warsaw?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Warta Poznan win (38%). Probabilities: Warta Poznan 38%, draw 28%, Polonia Warsaw 33%.
How many goals are expected in Warta Poznan vs Polonia Warsaw?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Warta Poznan 1.39 · Polonia Warsaw 1.28), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Warta Poznan vs Polonia Warsaw?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.