Football · Poland I Liga · 08/11, 12:15

Prediction: Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk

Team pages: Polonia Bytom · Lechia Gdansk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Polonia Bytom1.81

Lechia Gdansk1.61

1X2

42% 24% 34%

Polonia Bytom Draw Lechia Gdansk

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Polonia Bytom 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DLDDDDDWWW

Lechia Gdansk 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWWLW

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Polonia Bytom	Lechia Gdansk
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	2.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.8	2.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:40

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.13 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.15
X	3.77 → 3.81▲	Pinn 3.81
2	2.97 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.00

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:24 +8’	2.13	3.77	2.97
19:16 +25’	2.15▲	3.81▲	3.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland I Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lechia Gdansk	13	7	1	5	25	21	22
2	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	13	6	3	4	19	12	21
3	Polonia Warsaw	12	6	3	3	19	14	21
4	Ruch Chorzow	12	6	3	3	16	11	21
5	LKS Lodz	12	6	3	3	15	11	21
6	Termalica BB Nieciecza	13	6	3	4	20	18	21
7	Miedz Legnica	13	5	4	4	19	12	19
8	Warta Poznan	13	6	1	6	20	17	19
9	Polonia Bytom	12	4	6	2	20	20	18
10	Stal Rzeszow	12	5	2	5	16	22	17
11	Stal Mielec	13	4	4	5	17	27	16
12	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	13	2	9	2	16	17	15
13	MKP Pogon Siedlce	12	4	3	5	14	15	15
14	Arka Gdynia	12	4	2	6	16	16	14
15	Chrobry Glogow	12	3	4	5	13	15	13
16	Puszcza Niepolomice	12	4	0	8	13	17	12
17	Odra Opole	12	3	3	6	8	13	12
18	Unia Skierniewice	13	3	2	8	15	23	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Polonia Bytom	Lechia Gdansk
Unia Skierniewice	2-1 W	3-2 W
Puszcza Niepolomice	1-0 W	1-2 L
Ruch Chorzow	0-0 D	0-1 L
Polonia Warsaw	2-2 D	4-2 W
Arka Gdynia	1-1 D	2-1 W
Stal Mielec	2-5 L	7-1 W
MKP Pogon Siedlce	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Lechia Gdansk (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polonia Bytom

DLDDDDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga	0-0	2-1	12	6	W
17/10	Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga	3-0	3-2	5	2	W
11/10	Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
18/09	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
11/09	Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
06/09	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
30/08	Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
22/08	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
16/08	Stal Mielec Poland I Liga	1-2	2-5	5	3	L
07/08	MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga	0-1	2-2	9	4	D

Lechia Gdansk

LWWLWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga	1-2	3-2	7	3	W
24/10	Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
18/10	Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
12/10	Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga	2-0	2-1	5	5	W
19/09	Stal Mielec Poland I Liga	2-1	7-1	5	5	W
13/09	Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
04/09	Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland I Liga	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
29/08	Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga	1-1	4-2	3	2	W
21/08	MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
14/08	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	0-0	0-1	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Polonia Bytom win (42%). Probabilities: Polonia Bytom 42%, draw 24%, Lechia Gdansk 34%.

How many goals are expected in Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Polonia Bytom 1.81 · Lechia Gdansk 1.61), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.