Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 03/08, 17:00

Prediction: FK Transinvest II vs FK Babrungas

Team pages: FK Transinvest II · FK Babrungas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

FK Transinvest II0.64

FK Babrungas2.1

1X2

10% 18% 71%

FK Transinvest II Draw FK Babrungas

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

FK Transinvest II 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLWLLD

FK Babrungas 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DWDWWWDWWW

Head-to-head

FK Transinvest II 0–1 FK Babrungas (1 last)

FK Babrungas3-0FK Transinvest II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Transinvest II 1425 · FK Babrungas 1588

	FK Transinvest II	Draw	FK Babrungas
Our model	9%	20%	70%
Market	11%	16%	72%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Babrungas (rating 1425 vs 1588).
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Transinvest II	FK Babrungas
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.5	1.3 / 0.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.7	2.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.3	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

18.00

X5.50

21.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.95

2 (-1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:19 +4’	8.00	5.50	1.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Transinvest II 0–0–1 FK Babrungas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/03/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Babrungas	3-0 HT 1-0	FK Transinvest II

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Babrungas	17	14	3	0	30	4	45
2	FK Minija	16	14	1	1	41	10	43
3	FK Tauras	17	11	1	5	34	19	34
4	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	17	10	2	5	24	20	32
5	FK BE1	16	10	2	4	29	18	32
6	BFA Vilnius	17	9	1	7	25	26	28
7	DFK Dainava	15	8	3	4	26	15	27
8	FK Atmosfera	16	7	3	6	27	18	24
9	FK Garliava	16	6	4	6	22	15	22
10	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	16	6	3	7	23	25	21
11	Lietava Jonava	17	5	5	7	20	22	20
12	FK Transinvest II	16	4	3	9	15	38	15
13	FC Hegelmann II	17	4	1	12	17	38	13
14	FK Ekranas	17	2	1	14	16	35	7
15	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	17	2	1	14	9	30	7
16	FK Siauliai II	17	1	4	12	15	40	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Transinvest II	FK Babrungas
FK Siauliai II	2-1 W	1-0 W
FK Kauno Zalgiris II	0-1 L	2-0 W
FK Ekranas	0-4 L	2-0 W
FK BE1	0-2 L	1-0 W
FC Hegelmann II	2-1 W	1-0 W
FK Minija	1-7 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK Babrungas (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Transinvest II

LWLLLLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/07	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-2	1	3	D
27/06	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
19/06	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
14/06	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-1	5	5	W
10/06	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
30/05	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
22/05	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-3	0-4	6	3	L
15/05	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
11/05	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-0	2-1	7	4	W
03/05	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-7	2	0	L

FK Babrungas

DWDWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
19/07	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
27/06	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
24/06	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
19/06	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
12/06	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
29/05	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
22/05	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-1	0	4	D
15/05	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
09/05	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-1	2	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Transinvest II vs FK Babrungas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Babrungas win (71%). Probabilities: FK Transinvest II 10%, draw 18%, FK Babrungas 71%.

How many goals are expected in FK Transinvest II vs FK Babrungas?

The model expects 2.74 goals (FK Transinvest II 0.64 · FK Babrungas 2.1), with a 59% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Transinvest II vs FK Babrungas?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.