Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 01/08, 18:00

Prediction: FK Ekranas vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius II

Team pages: FK Ekranas · FK Zalgiris Vilnius II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

FK Ekranas1.43

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II1.72

1X2

31% 25% 44%

FK Ekranas Draw FK Zalgiris Vilnius II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Ekranas 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WDWLLLLLLL

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLLWLLWW

Head-to-head

FK Ekranas 2–2–2 FK Zalgiris Vilnius II (6 last)

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II1-0FK Ekranas
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II2-4FK Ekranas
FK Ekranas1-1FK Zalgiris Vilnius II
FK Zalgiris Vilnius II2-3FK Ekranas
FK Ekranas1-1FK Zalgiris Vilnius II
FK Ekranas0-5FK Zalgiris Vilnius II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Ekranas 1434 · FK Zalgiris Vilnius II 1451

	FK Ekranas	Draw	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II
Our model	31%	25%	44%
Market	31%	25%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Ekranas	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	1.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.8	1.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.5	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.60

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:56 +17’	2.88	3.60	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Ekranas 2–2–2 FK Zalgiris Vilnius II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/03/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Ekranas
29/08/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	2-4 HT 1-2	FK Ekranas
04/05/25 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	1-1 HT 0-1	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II
28/07/23 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	2-3 HT 0-0	FK Ekranas
12/03/23 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II
05/11/22 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Ekranas	0-5 HT 0-1	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Babrungas	17	14	3	0	30	4	45
2	FK Minija	16	14	1	1	41	10	43
3	FK Tauras	17	11	1	5	34	19	34
4	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	17	10	2	5	24	20	32
5	FK BE1	16	10	2	4	29	18	32
6	BFA Vilnius	17	9	1	7	25	26	28
7	DFK Dainava	15	8	3	4	26	15	27
8	FK Atmosfera	16	7	3	6	27	18	24
9	FK Garliava	16	6	4	6	22	15	22
10	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	16	6	3	7	23	25	21
11	Lietava Jonava	17	5	5	7	20	22	20
12	FK Transinvest II	16	4	3	9	15	38	15
13	FC Hegelmann II	17	4	1	12	17	38	13
14	FK Ekranas	17	2	1	14	16	35	7
15	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	17	2	1	14	9	30	7
16	FK Siauliai II	17	1	4	12	15	40	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Ekranas	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II
FK Babrungas	0-2 L	0-3 L
BFA Vilnius	1-4 L	3-4 L
FK Atmosfera	1-2 L	0-2 L
FK Tauras	1-2 L	2-2 D
FK Neptunas Klaipeda	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Ekranas

WDWLLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
19/07	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-3	1-4	1	6	L
02/07	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-2	0-3	1	7	L
27/06	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	1-2	6	2	L
20/06	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
05/06	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-2	4	10	L
29/05	DFK Dainava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
22/05	FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga	3-0	4-0	7	3	W
17/05	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-2	8	1	D
08/05	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	7	4	W

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II

LDLLLWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/07	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-0	11	1	W
02/07	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	3-1	10	5	W
26/06	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-2	5	1	L
21/06	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	1-2	7	4	L
13/06	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
30/05	FK Atmosfera Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
22/05	BFA Vilnius Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-1	3-4	6	5	L
15/05	FK Babrungas Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-3	1	2	L
08/05	FK Tauras Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-2	3	8	D
02/05	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-2	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Ekranas vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Zalgiris Vilnius II win (44%). Probabilities: FK Ekranas 31%, draw 25%, FK Zalgiris Vilnius II 44%.

How many goals are expected in FK Ekranas vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius II?

The model expects 3.15 goals (FK Ekranas 1.43 · FK Zalgiris Vilnius II 1.72), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Ekranas vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius II?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.