Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 02/08, 16:00

Prediction: DFK Dainava vs FK Tauras

Team pages: DFK Dainava · FK Tauras

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

DFK Dainava1.62

FK Tauras1.41

1X2

42% 25% 33%

DFK Dainava Draw FK Tauras

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

DFK Dainava 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWWDW

FK Tauras 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

DFK Dainava 3–1–1 FK Tauras (5 last)

FK Tauras2-1DFK Dainava
DFK Dainava5-0FK Tauras
FK Tauras2-2DFK Dainava
FK Tauras1-3DFK Dainava
DFK Dainava4-0FK Tauras

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · DFK Dainava 1557 · FK Tauras 1564

	DFK Dainava	Draw	FK Tauras
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	42%	25%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours DFK Dainava: 3-1-1.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	DFK Dainava	FK Tauras
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.8	2.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.1	2.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.60

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:15 +4’	2.10	3.60	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · DFK Dainava 3–1–1 FK Tauras

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Tauras	2-1 HT 0-0	DFK Dainava
13/10/17 Lithuania 1 Lyga	DFK Dainava	5-0 HT 3-0	FK Tauras
01/07/17 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Tauras	2-2 HT 0-0	DFK Dainava
28/07/15 Lithuania 1 Lyga	FK Tauras	1-3 HT 1-0	DFK Dainava
04/04/15 Lithuania 1 Lyga	DFK Dainava	4-0 HT 2-0	FK Tauras

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Babrungas	17	14	3	0	30	4	45
2	FK Minija	16	14	1	1	41	10	43
3	FK Tauras	17	11	1	5	34	19	34
4	FK Neptunas Klaipeda	17	10	2	5	24	20	32
5	FK BE1	16	10	2	4	29	18	32
6	BFA Vilnius	17	9	1	7	25	26	28
7	DFK Dainava	15	8	3	4	26	15	27
8	FK Atmosfera	16	7	3	6	27	18	24
9	FK Garliava	16	6	4	6	22	15	22
10	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	16	6	3	7	23	25	21
11	Lietava Jonava	17	5	5	7	20	22	20
12	FK Transinvest II	16	4	3	9	15	38	15
13	FC Hegelmann II	17	4	1	12	17	38	13
14	FK Ekranas	17	2	1	14	16	35	7
15	FK Kauno Zalgiris II	17	2	1	14	9	30	7
16	FK Siauliai II	17	1	4	12	15	40	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	DFK Dainava	FK Tauras
FK Siauliai II	5-0 W	3-1 W
FK Kauno Zalgiris II	2-0 W	4-2 W
FK Ekranas	2-0 W	2-1 W
FK BE1	1-2 L	0-1 L
FC Hegelmann II	3-2 W	6-1 W
FK Minija	1-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

DFK Dainava

LWWLWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	FK Neptunas Klaipeda Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
24/06	FK Transinvest Lithuania Cup	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
21/06	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	5-0	7	2	W
12/06	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
08/06	FK Garliava Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
29/05	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-0	10	6	W
22/05	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
19/05	FM Klaipedos Lithuania Cup	1-0	2-0	6	9	W
15/05	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	3-2	9	0	W
09/05	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-3	6	5	L

FK Tauras

DWLWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	FK Kauno Zalgiris II Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-2	4-2	6	4	W
19/07	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	2-0	3-1	5	5	W
01/07	FK Siauliai II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	3-1	3	3	W
27/06	FK Transinvest II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
20/06	FK Ekranas Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
12/06	FK BE1 Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
30/05	FC Hegelmann II Lithuania 1 Lyga	4-1	6-1	4	0	W
23/05	FK Minija Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
16/05	Lietava Jonava Lithuania 1 Lyga	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
08/05	FK Zalgiris Vilnius II Lithuania 1 Lyga	0-0	2-2	7	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in DFK Dainava vs FK Tauras?

According to our model, the most likely result is a DFK Dainava win (42%). Probabilities: DFK Dainava 42%, draw 25%, FK Tauras 33%.

How many goals are expected in DFK Dainava vs FK Tauras?

The model expects 3.03 goals (DFK Dainava 1.62 · FK Tauras 1.41), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in DFK Dainava vs FK Tauras?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.