Football · Peru Liga 2 · 20/07, 18:00

Prediction: Pirata FC vs CD Universidad San Martin

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Pirata FC1.61
CD Universidad San Martin1.22
1X2
45% 27% 27%
Pirata FC Draw CD Universidad San Martin
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Pirata FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
DLWWWLWWLL
CD Universidad San Martin 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDLLDWLWDL
Head-to-head
Pirata FC 1–2–3 CD Universidad San Martin (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pirata FC 1511 · CD Universidad San Martin 1486
Pirata FCDrawCD Universidad San Martin
Our model45%27%28%
Market45%28%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours CD Universidad San Martin: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pirata FCCD Universidad San Martin
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.31.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 2.92.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.46 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pirata FC 123 CD Universidad San Martin

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Peru Liga 2
CD Universidad San Martin1-1
HT 0-0
Pirata FC
15/09/25
Peru Liga 2
CD Universidad San Martin3-0
HT 2-0
Pirata FC
11/08/25
Peru Liga 2
Pirata FC2-1
HT 0-1
CD Universidad San Martin
02/08/23
Peru Liga 2
CD Universidad San Martin4-1
HT 1-1
Pirata FC
13/05/23
Peru Liga 2
Pirata FC0-2
HT 0-1
CD Universidad San Martin
25/08/19
Peru Liga 1
CD Universidad San Martin2-2
HT 1-0
Pirata FC

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Deportivo Llacuabamba 8512 11416
2 Union Comercio 7421 5214
3 Carlos Manucci 8422 8714
4 Pirata FC 7412 10713
5 CD Universidad San Martin 8323 12711
6 Club Ada Jaen 8152 568
7 Cesar Vallejo 7214 687
8 Academia Deportiva Cantolao 8026 4172

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPirata FCCD Universidad San Martin
Deportivo Llacuabamba 3-1 W 0-1 L
Carlos Manucci 0-1 L 1-2 L
Academia Deportiva Cantolao 2-1 W 3-4 L
Union Comercio 2-1 W 0-1 L
Cesar Vallejo 2-1 W 1-0 W
Club Ada Jaen 0-1 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Pirata FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pirata FC

DLWWWLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/07 Alianza Atletico
Peru Copa de la Liga
1-1 2-3 32 L
22/06 Atletico Grau
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-2 2-3 24 L
13/06 Universitario de Deportes
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 2-0 00 W
01/06 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
1-0 3-1 35 W
24/05 Carlos Manucci
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 43 L
11/05 Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Peru Liga 2
2-0 2-1 20 W
03/05 Union Comercio
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-1 17 W
27/04 Cesar Vallejo
Peru Liga 2
0-1 2-1 77 W
06/04 Club Ada Jaen
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 54 L
28/03 CD Universidad San Martin
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-1 24 D

CD Universidad San Martin

WDLLDWLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/06 Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Peru Copa de la Liga
1-2 3-4 210 L
13/06 Sport Boys
Peru Copa de la Liga
1-0 2-2 37 D
31/05 Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Peru Liga 2
2-0 4-0 69 W
23/05 Union Comercio
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 37 L
17/05 Cesar Vallejo
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 43 W
03/05 Club Ada Jaen
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-2 62 D
18/04 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-1 69 L
05/04 Carlos Manucci
Peru Liga 2
0-2 1-2 107 L
28/03 Pirata FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-1 104 D
15/09 Pirata FC
Peru Liga 2
2-0 3-0 66 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pirata FC vs CD Universidad San Martin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pirata FC win (45%). Probabilities: Pirata FC 45%, draw 27%, CD Universidad San Martin 27%.

How many goals are expected in Pirata FC vs CD Universidad San Martin?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Pirata FC 1.61 · CD Universidad San Martin 1.22), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Pirata FC vs CD Universidad San Martin?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.