Football · Peru Liga 2 · 26/07, 18:00

Prediction: Ayacucho FC vs Santos FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.03Total
Ayacucho FC1.18
Santos FC0.85
1X2
43% 31% 26%
Ayacucho FC Draw Santos FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ayacucho FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DLWDWDDLLL
Santos FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
DLWWWLLWLW
Head-to-head
Ayacucho FC 0–3–3 Santos FC (6 last)
  • Santos FC2-1Ayacucho FC
  • Santos FC0-0Ayacucho FC
  • Santos FC0-0Ayacucho FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ayacucho FC 1478 · Santos FC 1503
Ayacucho FCDrawSantos FC
Our model42%33%25%
Market44%30%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Santos FC: 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ayacucho FCSantos FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 0.91.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.92 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.35.3 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ayacucho FC 033 Santos FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/06/26
Peru Copa de la Liga
Santos FC2-1
HT 0-0
Ayacucho FC
04/04/26
Peru Liga 2
Santos FC0-0
HT 0-0
Ayacucho FC
26/06/24
Peru Liga 2
Santos FC0-0
HT 0-0
Ayacucho FC
07/06/24
Peru Liga 2
Ayacucho FC0-1
HT 0-0
Santos FC
20/09/23
Peru Liga 2
Ayacucho FC1-1
HT 1-0
Santos FC
26/06/23
Peru Liga 2
Santos FC4-1
HT 1-0
Ayacucho FC

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Comerciantes FC 10550 13620
2 Bentin Tacna Heroica 9432 10815
3 Alianza Universidad 10424 121014
4 Santos FC 9423 10914
5 Sport Huancayo II 9333 8912
6 Union Minas 10253 7611
7 Ayacucho FC 9243 7810
8 CD Estudiantil CNI 9234 9129
9 Deportivo Binacional 9135 7156

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAyacucho FCSantos FC
Alianza Universidad 2-3 L 2-1 W
CD Los Chankas 0-1 L 0-3 L
Sport Huancayo II 0-0 D 2-0 W
Comerciantes FC 0-0 D 0-1 L
Deportivo Binacional 2-0 W 3-1 W
Union Minas 2-2 D 0-1 L
CD Estudiantil CNI 1-0 W 0-3 L
Bentin Tacna Heroica 0-1 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 3 L 4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Ayacucho FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ayacucho FC

DLWDWDDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
1-2 2-3 21 L
21/06 Santos FC
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 1-2 18 L
14/06 CD Los Chankas
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-1 0-1 89 L
01/06 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 33 D
22/05 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 64 D
09/05 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-0 35 W
02/05 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
0-1 2-2 D
26/04 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
1-0 1-0 45 W
18/04 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-1 125 L
04/04 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 59 D

Santos FC

DLWWWLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
1-0 3-1 W
28/06 CD Los Chankas
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-2 0-3 15 L
21/06 Ayacucho FC
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 2-1 88 W
29/05 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 85 L
23/05 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
0-2 0-3 L
16/05 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-1 66 W
04/05 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
0-0 2-1 69 W
25/04 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-0 32 W
19/04 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-1 42 L
04/04 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 39 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ayacucho FC vs Santos FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ayacucho FC win (43%). Probabilities: Ayacucho FC 43%, draw 31%, Santos FC 26%.

How many goals are expected in Ayacucho FC vs Santos FC?

The model expects 2.03 goals (Ayacucho FC 1.18 · Santos FC 0.85), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ayacucho FC vs Santos FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.