Prediction: Comerciantes FC vs Alianza Universidad
- Alianza Universidad1-2Comerciantes FC
- Comerciantes FC3-1Alianza Universidad
- Alianza Universidad1-0Comerciantes FC
| Comerciantes FC | Draw | Alianza Universidad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 31% | 20% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Comerciantes FC: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Comerciantes FC | Alianza Universidad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.5 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Comerciantes FC 2–0–1 Alianza Universidad
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Peru Liga 2 | Alianza Universidad | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Comerciantes FC |
| 21/09/23 Peru Liga 2 | Comerciantes FC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Alianza Universidad |
| 26/06/23 Peru Liga 2 | Alianza Universidad | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Comerciantes FC |
Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comerciantes FC | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Bentin Tacna Heroica | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Alianza Universidad | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 4 | Santos FC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Ayacucho FC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | CD Estudiantil CNI | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 8 | Union Minas | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| 9 | Deportivo Binacional | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Comerciantes FC | Alianza Universidad |
|---|---|---|
| Sport Huancayo II | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| CD Estudiantil CNI | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Ayacucho FC | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Deportivo Binacional | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Union Minas | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Bentin Tacna Heroica | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 5 D 0 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Alianza Universidad (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Comerciantes FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Sport Boys Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | CD Estudiantil CNI Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Union Comercio Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Sporting Cristal Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Union Minas Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | CD Estudiantil CNI Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 10 | D |
| 26/04 | Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
Alianza Universidad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 26/06 | Union Minas Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 19/06 | AD Tarma Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Sport Huancayo Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Union Minas Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | CD Estudiantil CNI Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 04/05 | Santos FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 19/04 | Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Comerciantes FC vs Alianza Universidad?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Comerciantes FC win (50%). Probabilities: Comerciantes FC 50%, draw 29%, Alianza Universidad 21%.
How many goals are expected in Comerciantes FC vs Alianza Universidad?
The model expects 2.06 goals (Comerciantes FC 1.31 · Alianza Universidad 0.75), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Comerciantes FC vs Alianza Universidad?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.