Football · Peru Liga 2 · 26/07, 20:15

Prediction: Deportivo Binacional vs Bentin Tacna Heroica

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Deportivo Binacional0.99
Bentin Tacna Heroica1.64
1X2
21% 27% 51%
Deportivo Binacional Draw Bentin Tacna Heroica
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Binacional 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DDLLLWLWLL
Bentin Tacna Heroica 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WDLDLWWLDW
Head-to-head
Deportivo Binacional 0–1 Bentin Tacna Heroica (1 last)
  • Bentin Tacna Heroica2-1Deportivo Binacional
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Binacional 1440 · Bentin Tacna Heroica 1520
Deportivo BinacionalDrawBentin Tacna Heroica
Our model22%27%52%
Market21%27%51%
Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bentin Tacna Heroica (rating 1440 vs 1520).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportivo BinacionalBentin Tacna Heroica
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 2.11.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 10.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 2.72.7 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.64.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Binacional 001 Bentin Tacna Heroica

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/04/26
Peru Liga 2
Bentin Tacna Heroica2-1
HT 2-0
Deportivo Binacional

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Comerciantes FC 10550 13620
2 Bentin Tacna Heroica 9432 10815
3 Alianza Universidad 10424 121014
4 Santos FC 9423 10914
5 Sport Huancayo II 9333 8912
6 Union Minas 10253 7611
7 Ayacucho FC 9243 7810
8 CD Estudiantil CNI 9234 9129
9 Deportivo Binacional 9135 7156

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDeportivo BinacionalBentin Tacna Heroica
Santos FC 1-3 L 1-2 L
Alianza Universidad 2-1 W 0-0 D
Sport Huancayo II 0-1 L 0-2 L
Comerciantes FC 0-3 L 1-1 D
Ayacucho FC 0-2 L 1-0 W
Union Minas 0-0 D 2-1 W
CD Estudiantil CNI 2-2 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 4 L 3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bentin Tacna Heroica (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Binacional

DDLLLWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
0-1 1-3 L
29/06 Deportivo Garcilaso
Peru Copa de la Liga
1-2 1-4 L
22/06 Cusco FC
Peru Copa de la Liga
2-2 4-3 53 W
14/06 Cienciano
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 0-2 26 L
31/05 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-1 23 W
22/05 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 36 L
16/05 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
0-3 0-3 32 L
09/05 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-2 35 L
26/04 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 18 D
20/04 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
2-1 2-2 D

Bentin Tacna Heroica

WDLDLWWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
1-1 2-1 79 W
11/07 Sporting Cristal
Peru Copa de la Liga
1-0 1-1 31 D
21/06 Deportivo Moquegua
Peru Copa de la Liga
2-2 2-3 65 L
12/06 FBC Melgar
Peru Copa de la Liga
2-1 3-2 15 W
30/05 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
1-1 3-1 44 W
16/05 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
0-1 1-2 56 L
09/05 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 57 D
01/05 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-2 93 L
26/04 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 1-1 53 D
18/04 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 1-0 55 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Binacional vs Bentin Tacna Heroica?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bentin Tacna Heroica win (51%). Probabilities: Deportivo Binacional 21%, draw 27%, Bentin Tacna Heroica 51%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Binacional vs Bentin Tacna Heroica?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Deportivo Binacional 0.99 · Bentin Tacna Heroica 1.64), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Binacional vs Bentin Tacna Heroica?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.