Football · Peru Liga 2 · 18/07, 20:00

Prediction: Alianza Universidad vs Ayacucho FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.93Total
Alianza Universidad1.19
Ayacucho FC0.74
1X2
46% 31% 23%
Alianza Universidad Draw Ayacucho FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Alianza Universidad 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDLDWWLDLW
Ayacucho FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LDLWDWDDLL
Head-to-head
Alianza Universidad 3–3 Ayacucho FC (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alianza Universidad 1486 · Ayacucho FC 1490
Alianza UniversidadDrawAyacucho FC
Our model45%33%22%
Market47%29%24%
Estimated total (ours) 1.93 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Alianza UniversidadAyacucho FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.20.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.22.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.25.6 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alianza Universidad 303 Ayacucho FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Peru Liga 2
Ayacucho FC0-2
HT 0-1
Alianza Universidad
26/07/25
Peru Liga 1
Alianza Universidad1-2
HT 1-0
Ayacucho FC
17/02/25
Peru Liga 1
Ayacucho FC3-2
HT 2-1
Alianza Universidad
30/07/23
Peru Liga 2
Alianza Universidad3-2
HT 2-0
Ayacucho FC
07/05/23
Peru Liga 2
Ayacucho FC1-3
HT 0-2
Alianza Universidad
30/10/21
Peru Liga 1
Alianza Universidad1-2
HT 1-1
Ayacucho FC

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Comerciantes FC 8440 11516
2 Bentin Tacna Heroica 8332 8712
3 Alianza Universidad 8323 9711
4 Santos FC 8323 7811
4 Sport Huancayo II 8323 7811
6 Ayacucho FC 8242 5510
7 CD Estudiantil CNI 8233 999
8 Union Minas 8152 348
9 Deportivo Binacional 8134 6126

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAlianza UniversidadAyacucho FC
Union Minas 3-1 W 2-2 D
Deportivo Binacional 1-2 L 2-0 W
CD Estudiantil CNI 2-0 W 1-0 W
Bentin Tacna Heroica 0-0 D 0-1 L
Santos FC 1-2 L 1-2 L
Sport Huancayo II 1-1 D 0-0 D
Comerciantes FC 1-2 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Alianza Universidad (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alianza Universidad

LDLDWWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 Union Minas
Peru Copa de la Liga
1-0 3-1 27 W
19/06 AD Tarma
Peru Copa de la Liga
1-2 1-3 55 L
14/06 Sport Huancayo
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 1-1 35 D
31/05 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
0-1 1-2 123 L
23/05 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
1-0 1-0 32 W
16/05 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
2-0 2-0 44 W
09/05 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 17 D
04/05 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-2 49 L
19/04 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
1-1 1-1 44 D
04/04 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-2 44 L

Ayacucho FC

LDLWDWDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 Santos FC
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 1-2 18 L
14/06 CD Los Chankas
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-1 0-1 89 L
01/06 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 33 D
22/05 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 64 D
09/05 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-0 35 W
02/05 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
0-1 2-2 D
26/04 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
1-0 1-0 45 W
18/04 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-1 125 L
04/04 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 59 D
28/03 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-2 55 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alianza Universidad vs Ayacucho FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alianza Universidad win (46%). Probabilities: Alianza Universidad 46%, draw 31%, Ayacucho FC 23%.

How many goals are expected in Alianza Universidad vs Ayacucho FC?

The model expects 1.93 goals (Alianza Universidad 1.19 · Ayacucho FC 0.74), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Alianza Universidad vs Ayacucho FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.