Football · Peru Liga 2 · 18/07, 22:15

Prediction: Sport Huancayo II vs Comerciantes FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.97Total
Sport Huancayo II1.03
Comerciantes FC0.94
1X2
37% 32% 32%
Sport Huancayo II Draw Comerciantes FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sport Huancayo II 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWLDLWLWWD
Comerciantes FC 3-6-1 (W-D-L)
WDDDWDDWDL
Head-to-head
Sport Huancayo II 0–1 Comerciantes FC (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sport Huancayo II 1521 · Comerciantes FC 1542
Sport Huancayo IIDrawComerciantes FC
Our model35%34%31%
Market37%30%33%
Estimated total (ours) 1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sport Huancayo IIComerciantes FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 10.8 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.11.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.63.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sport Huancayo II 001 Comerciantes FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/03/26
Peru Liga 2
Comerciantes FC3-2
HT 1-1
Sport Huancayo II

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Comerciantes FC 8440 11516
2 Bentin Tacna Heroica 8332 8712
3 Alianza Universidad 8323 9711
4 Santos FC 8323 7811
4 Sport Huancayo II 8323 7811
6 Ayacucho FC 8242 5510
7 CD Estudiantil CNI 8233 999
8 Union Minas 8152 348
9 Deportivo Binacional 8134 6126

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSport Huancayo IIComerciantes FC
Ayacucho FC 0-0 D 0-0 D
Deportivo Binacional 1-0 W 3-0 W
Union Minas 1-0 W 0-0 D
CD Estudiantil CNI 0-2 L 0-0 D
Bentin Tacna Heroica 2-0 W 1-1 D
Santos FC 0-2 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Comerciantes FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sport Huancayo II

WWLDLWLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/06 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 63 D
22/05 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 56 W
15/05 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
1-0 1-0 27 W
10/05 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
0-2 0-2 23 L
01/05 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
0-0 2-0 63 W
25/04 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-2 22 L
19/04 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
1-1 1-1 44 D
29/03 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
1-1 2-3 L
25/10 José María Arguedas
Peru Liga 3
1-0 2-1 27 W
11/10 Nacional FBC
Peru Liga 3
2-0 4-1 85 W

Comerciantes FC

WDDDWDDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Sport Boys
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 0-1 53 L
27/06 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 0-0 62 D
20/06 Union Comercio
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 1-0 54 W
13/06 Sporting Cristal
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-1 1-1 64 D
22/05 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 34 D
16/05 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
3-0 3-0 72 W
08/05 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 22 D
03/05 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-1 810 D
26/04 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
0-1 1-1 13 D
19/04 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 1-0 32 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sport Huancayo II vs Comerciantes FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sport Huancayo II win (37%). Probabilities: Sport Huancayo II 37%, draw 32%, Comerciantes FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Sport Huancayo II vs Comerciantes FC?

The model expects 1.97 goals (Sport Huancayo II 1.03 · Comerciantes FC 0.94), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sport Huancayo II vs Comerciantes FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.