Football · Peru Liga 2 · 19/07, 20:00

Prediction: Bentin Tacna Heroica vs Union Minas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.97Total
Bentin Tacna Heroica1.47
Union Minas0.5
1X2
61% 26% 13%
Bentin Tacna Heroica Draw Union Minas
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Bentin Tacna Heroica 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWDLDLWWLD
Union Minas 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
DDDDLLWDLL
Head-to-head
Bentin Tacna Heroica 0–1–0 Union Minas (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bentin Tacna Heroica 1512 · Union Minas 1458
Bentin Tacna HeroicaDrawUnion Minas
Our model60%28%12%
Market62%24%14%
Estimated total (ours) 1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bentin Tacna Heroica (rating 1512 vs 1458).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Bentin Tacna HeroicaUnion Minas
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.30.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.50.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 4.82.3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.24.1 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bentin Tacna Heroica 010 Union Minas

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/03/26
Peru Liga 2
Union Minas0-0
HT 0-0
Bentin Tacna Heroica

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Comerciantes FC 8440 11516
2 Bentin Tacna Heroica 8332 8712
3 Alianza Universidad 8323 9711
4 Santos FC 8323 7811
4 Sport Huancayo II 8323 7811
6 Ayacucho FC 8242 5510
7 CD Estudiantil CNI 8233 999
8 Union Minas 8152 348
9 Deportivo Binacional 8134 6126

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBentin Tacna HeroicaUnion Minas
CD Estudiantil CNI 3-1 W 0-0 D
Santos FC 1-2 L 1-0 W
Alianza Universidad 0-0 D 1-3 L
Sport Huancayo II 0-2 L 0-1 L
Comerciantes FC 1-1 D 0-0 D
Ayacucho FC 1-0 W 2-2 D
Deportivo Binacional 2-1 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bentin Tacna Heroica (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bentin Tacna Heroica

WWDLDLWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Sporting Cristal
Peru Copa de la Liga
1-0 1-1 31 D
21/06 Deportivo Moquegua
Peru Copa de la Liga
2-2 2-3 65 L
12/06 FBC Melgar
Peru Copa de la Liga
2-1 3-2 15 W
30/05 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
1-1 3-1 44 W
16/05 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
0-1 1-2 56 L
09/05 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 57 D
01/05 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-2 93 L
26/04 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 1-1 53 D
18/04 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 1-0 55 W
05/04 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
2-0 2-1 W

Union Minas

DDDDLLWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 Alianza Universidad
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-1 1-3 67 L
21/06 Sport Huancayo
Peru Copa de la Liga
1-1 1-2 45 L
12/06 AD Tarma
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 0-0 42 D
29/05 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 25 W
23/05 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-1 32 L
15/05 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-1 77 L
08/05 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 62 D
02/05 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-2 D
26/04 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 98 D
05/04 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 64 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bentin Tacna Heroica vs Union Minas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bentin Tacna Heroica win (61%). Probabilities: Bentin Tacna Heroica 61%, draw 26%, Union Minas 13%.

How many goals are expected in Bentin Tacna Heroica vs Union Minas?

The model expects 1.97 goals (Bentin Tacna Heroica 1.47 · Union Minas 0.5), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bentin Tacna Heroica vs Union Minas?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.