Football · Peru Liga 2 · 19/07, 22:15

Prediction: Santos FC vs Deportivo Binacional

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Santos FC1.76
Deportivo Binacional0.77
1X2
60% 25% 15%
Santos FC Draw Deportivo Binacional
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Santos FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DDLWWWLLWL
Deportivo Binacional 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LDDLLLWLWL
Head-to-head
Santos FC 0–1–1 Deportivo Binacional (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santos FC 1494 · Deportivo Binacional 1452
Santos FCDrawDeportivo Binacional
Our model60%25%15%
Market60%25%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santos FC (rating 1494 vs 1452).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Santos FCDeportivo Binacional
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.21 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.50.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 5.11.1 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.64.1 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Santos FC 011 Deportivo Binacional

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/03/26
Peru Liga 2
Deportivo Binacional1-1
HT 0-0
Santos FC
02/06/24
Peru Liga 2
Deportivo Binacional2-0
HT 2-0
Santos FC

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Comerciantes FC 8440 11516
2 Bentin Tacna Heroica 8332 8712
3 Alianza Universidad 8323 9711
4 Santos FC 8323 7811
4 Sport Huancayo II 8323 7811
6 Ayacucho FC 8242 5510
7 CD Estudiantil CNI 8233 999
8 Union Minas 8152 348
9 Deportivo Binacional 8134 6126

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSantos FCDeportivo Binacional
Ayacucho FC 2-1 W 0-2 L
Union Minas 0-1 L 0-0 D
CD Estudiantil CNI 0-3 L 2-2 D
Bentin Tacna Heroica 2-1 W 1-2 L
Alianza Universidad 2-1 W 2-1 W
Sport Huancayo II 2-0 W 0-1 L
Comerciantes FC 0-1 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Santos FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santos FC

DDLWWWLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 CD Los Chankas
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-2 0-3 15 L
21/06 Ayacucho FC
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 2-1 88 W
29/05 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 85 L
23/05 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
0-2 0-3 L
16/05 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-1 66 W
04/05 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
0-0 2-1 69 W
25/04 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-0 32 W
19/04 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-1 42 L
04/04 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 39 D
29/03 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-1 75 D

Deportivo Binacional

LDDLLLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/06 Deportivo Garcilaso
Peru Copa de la Liga
1-2 1-4 L
22/06 Cusco FC
Peru Copa de la Liga
2-2 4-3 53 W
14/06 Cienciano
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 0-2 26 L
31/05 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-1 23 W
22/05 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 36 L
16/05 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
0-3 0-3 32 L
09/05 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-2 35 L
26/04 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 18 D
20/04 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
2-1 2-2 D
05/04 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
0-2 1-2 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santos FC vs Deportivo Binacional?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santos FC win (60%). Probabilities: Santos FC 60%, draw 25%, Deportivo Binacional 15%.

How many goals are expected in Santos FC vs Deportivo Binacional?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Santos FC 1.76 · Deportivo Binacional 0.77), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Santos FC vs Deportivo Binacional?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.