Prediction: East Kilbride vs Queen of South
Team pages: East Kilbride · Queen of South
- East Kilbride3-1Queen of South
- East Kilbride1-3Queen of South
- East Kilbride1-1Queen of South
- Queen of South0-0East Kilbride
| East Kilbride | Draw | Queen of South | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 23% | 16% |
| Market | 62% | 23% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours East Kilbride (rating 1557 vs 1465).
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| East Kilbride | Queen of South | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.6 | 1.6 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · East Kilbride 1–2–1 Queen of South
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/25 Scotland League Challenge Cup | East Kilbride | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Queen of South |
| 23/07/24 Scotland League Cup | East Kilbride | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Queen of South |
| 24/06/23 Club Friendly List | East Kilbride | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Queen of South |
| 18/07/17 Scotland League Cup | Queen of South | 0-0 HT 0-0 | East Kilbride |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Airdrieonians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Alloa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cove Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | East Fife | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | East Kilbride | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hamilton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montrose | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Peterhead | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Queen of South | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ross County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
East Kilbride
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | St Mirren Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | Dumbarton Scotland League Cup |
3-1 | 5-3 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 14/07 | Cove Rangers Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Dunfermline Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Kelty Hearts UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
Queen of South
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Queen's Park Scotland League Cup |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/07 | Aberdeen Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Brora Rangers FC Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 04/07 | Crusaders UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Connah's Quay UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Alloa Scotland League One |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in East Kilbride vs Queen of South?
According to our model, the most likely result is a East Kilbride win (62%). Probabilities: East Kilbride 62%, draw 23%, Queen of South 16%.
How many goals are expected in East Kilbride vs Queen of South?
The model expects 2.98 goals (East Kilbride 2.04 · Queen of South 0.94), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in East Kilbride vs Queen of South?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

