Football · Scotland League One · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: East Kilbride vs Queen of South

Team pages: East Kilbride · Queen of South

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
East Kilbride2.04
Queen of South0.94
1X2
62% 23% 16%
East Kilbride Draw Queen of South
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
East Kilbride 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WLWWWWWLWL
Queen of South 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DWDDLLDWLL
Head-to-head
East Kilbride 1–2–1 Queen of South (4 last)
  • East Kilbride3-1Queen of South
  • East Kilbride1-3Queen of South
  • East Kilbride1-1Queen of South
  • Queen of South0-0East Kilbride
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · East Kilbride 1557 · Queen of South 1465
East KilbrideDrawQueen of South
Our model62%23%16%
Market62%23%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours East Kilbride (rating 1557 vs 1465).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

East KilbrideQueen of South
Goals for / against (FT)2.9 / 1.21.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.20.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/20/10%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.61.6 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 02.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · East Kilbride 121 Queen of South

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/08/25
Scotland League Challenge Cup
East Kilbride3-1
HT 1-1
Queen of South
23/07/24
Scotland League Cup
East Kilbride1-3
HT 1-3
Queen of South
24/06/23
Club Friendly List
East Kilbride1-1
HT 1-1
Queen of South
18/07/17
Scotland League Cup
Queen of South0-0
HT 0-0
East Kilbride

Standings · Scotland League One

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Airdrieonians 000 000
1 Alloa 000 000
1 Cove Rangers 000 000
1 East Fife 000 000
1 East Kilbride 000 000
1 Hamilton 000 000
1 Montrose 000 000
1 Peterhead 000 000
1 Queen of South 000 000
1 Ross County 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

East Kilbride

WLWWWWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/07 St Mirren
Scotland League Cup
2-0 3-4 37 L
18/07 Dumbarton
Scotland League Cup
3-1 5-3 82 W
14/07 Cove Rangers
Scotland League Cup
0-0 2-3 82 L
11/07 Dunfermline
Scotland League Cup
1-0 3-0 43 W
27/06 Kelty Hearts
UK Friendlies
3-0 4-0 W
02/05 Clyde
Scotland League Two
3-0 5-0 54 W
25/04 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-0 24 W
18/04 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
1-0 4-0 125 W
11/04 Forfar
Scotland League Two
0-1 0-1 35 L
04/04 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
0-0 2-1 56 W

Queen of South

DWDDLLDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Queen's Park
Scotland League Cup
1-2 1-3 23 L
22/07 Aberdeen
Scotland League Cup
1-1 1-4 12 L
18/07 Brora Rangers FC
Scotland League Cup
1-0 3-0 53 W
11/07 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Cup
1-1 1-1 11 D
04/07 Crusaders
UK Friendlies
1-2 1-2 51 L
27/06 Connah's Quay
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-1 01 L
09/05 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
1-1 1-1 55 D
05/05 Stenhousemuir
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
0-1 1-1 115 D
02/05 Alloa
Scotland League One
1-1 4-1 22 W
25/04 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-1 2-2 24 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in East Kilbride vs Queen of South?

According to our model, the most likely result is a East Kilbride win (62%). Probabilities: East Kilbride 62%, draw 23%, Queen of South 16%.

How many goals are expected in East Kilbride vs Queen of South?

The model expects 2.98 goals (East Kilbride 2.04 · Queen of South 0.94), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in East Kilbride vs Queen of South?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.