Football · Scotland League One · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: East Fife vs Cove Rangers

Team pages: East Fife · Cove Rangers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
East Fife1.21
Cove Rangers1.08
1X2
38% 30% 32%
East Fife Draw Cove Rangers
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
East Fife 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
LWLDDDWWDD
Cove Rangers 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WWDLLWLLLD
Head-to-head
East Fife 3–1–2 Cove Rangers (6 last)
  • Cove Rangers0-0East Fife
  • East Fife2-1Cove Rangers
  • Cove Rangers0-1East Fife
  • East Fife2-0Cove Rangers
  • East Fife2-3Cove Rangers
  • Cove Rangers4-2East Fife
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · East Fife 1543 · Cove Rangers 1438
East FifeDrawCove Rangers
Our model38%31%31%
Market39%29%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours East Fife (rating 1543 vs 1438).
  • H2H favours East Fife: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

East FifeCove Rangers
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.81.3 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.20.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 31.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 01.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · East Fife 312 Cove Rangers

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Scotland League One
Cove Rangers0-0
HT 0-0
East Fife
14/02/26
Scotland League One
East Fife2-1
HT 0-1
Cove Rangers
13/12/25
Scotland League One
Cove Rangers0-1
HT 0-0
East Fife
04/10/25
Scotland League One
East Fife2-0
HT 1-0
Cove Rangers
30/04/22
Scotland League One
East Fife2-3
HT 2-1
Cove Rangers
26/12/21
Scotland League One
Cove Rangers4-2
HT 0-0
East Fife

Standings · Scotland League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Hamilton 1100 503
2 East Kilbride 1100 513
3 Ross County 1100 103
4 Airdrieonians 1010 001
4 Alloa 1010 001
4 Cove Rangers 1010 001
4 East Fife 1010 001
8 Peterhead 1001 010
9 Queen of South 1001 150
10 Montrose 1001 050

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEast FifeCove Rangers
St Johnstone 1-1 D 2-4 L
Inverness CT 1-1 D 1-4 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: East Fife (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

East Fife

LWLDDDWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Alloa
Scotland League One
0-0 0-0 32 D
25/07 St Johnstone
Scotland League Cup
0-0 1-1 11 D
21/07 Linlithgow Rose
Scotland League Cup
0-1 3-1 74 W
14/07 Morton
Scotland League Cup
2-0 2-0 14 W
11/07 Inverness CT
Scotland League Cup
1-0 1-1 26 D
02/05 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
0-0 0-0 20 D
25/04 Inverness CT
Scotland League One
0-0 1-1 32 D
18/04 Alloa
Scotland League One
0-1 0-2 35 L
11/04 Peterhead
Scotland League One
1-0 2-1 45 W
04/04 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-0 0-1 44 L

Cove Rangers

WWDLLWLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
0-0 0-0 45 D
25/07 Dumbarton
Scotland League Cup
0-1 0-2 71 L
21/07 Dunfermline
Scotland League Cup
0-3 0-5 12 L
18/07 St Mirren
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-4 31 L
14/07 East Kilbride
Scotland League Cup
0-0 3-2 62 W
11/07 St Johnstone
UK Friendlies
1-3 2-4 20 L
07/07 Inverness CT
UK Friendlies
1-1 1-4 30 L
04/07 Huntly
Club Friendly List
0-2 2-2 D
02/07 Turriff United
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-0 70 W
30/06 Inverurie Loco Works
Club Friendly List
1-1 4-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in East Fife vs Cove Rangers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a East Fife win (38%). Probabilities: East Fife 38%, draw 30%, Cove Rangers 32%.

How many goals are expected in East Fife vs Cove Rangers?

The model expects 2.29 goals (East Fife 1.21 · Cove Rangers 1.08), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in East Fife vs Cove Rangers?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.