Football · Scotland League One · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Queen of South vs Peterhead
Team pages: Queen of South · Peterhead
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Queen of South1.27
Peterhead1.39
1X2
Queen of South
Draw
Peterhead
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Queen of South
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Peterhead
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Queen of South
3–1–2
Peterhead
(6 last)
- Peterhead1-1Queen of South
- Queen of South0-2Peterhead
- Peterhead3-0Queen of South
- Queen of South4-0Peterhead
- Queen of South2-1Peterhead
- Peterhead1-3Queen of South
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Queen of South 1452 · Peterhead 1513
| Queen of South | Draw | Peterhead | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 28% | 39% |
| Market | 34% | 26% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.65 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Peterhead (rating 1452 vs 1513).
- H2H favours Queen of South: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Queen of South | Peterhead | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.9 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 0.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 13/38/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 3.2 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Queen of South 3–1–2 Peterhead
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Scotland League One | Peterhead | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Queen of South |
| 28/02/26 Scotland League One | Queen of South | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Peterhead |
| 18/10/25 Scotland League One | Peterhead | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Queen of South |
| 16/08/25 Scotland League One | Queen of South | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Peterhead |
| 01/04/23 Scotland League One | Queen of South | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Peterhead |
| 28/01/23 Scotland League One | Peterhead | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Queen of South |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamilton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | East Kilbride | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Ross County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Airdrieonians | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Alloa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cove Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | East Fife | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Peterhead | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Queen of South | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 | Montrose | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Queen of South
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
1-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/07 | Queen's Park Scotland League Cup |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/07 | Aberdeen Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Brora Rangers FC Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 04/07 | Crusaders UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Connah's Quay UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Alloa Scotland League One |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
Peterhead
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Kilmarnock Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 21/07 | Raith Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/07 | Elgin Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Hamilton Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 07/07 | Forfar Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/07 | Dundee B UK Friendlies |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Banks O'Dee Club Friendly List |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Queen of South vs Peterhead?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Peterhead win (39%). Probabilities: Queen of South 34%, draw 27%, Peterhead 39%.
How many goals are expected in Queen of South vs Peterhead?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Queen of South 1.27 · Peterhead 1.39), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Queen of South vs Peterhead?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.