Football · Scotland League One · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Ross County vs Montrose
Team pages: Ross County · Montrose
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Ross County2.11
Montrose0.72
1X2
Ross County
Draw
Montrose
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Ross County
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Montrose
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ross County
5–1–0
Montrose
(6 last)
- Ross County4-1Montrose
- Montrose3-3Ross County
- Ross County4-1Montrose
- Ross County3-1Montrose
- Montrose0-6Ross County
- Montrose0-1Ross County
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ross County 1603 · Montrose 1501
| Ross County | Draw | Montrose | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 21% | 11% |
| Market | 69% | 20% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ross County (rating 1603 vs 1501).
- H2H favours Ross County: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ross County | Montrose | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/11/22% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.8 | 3.3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 1.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ross County 5–1–0 Montrose
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/21 Scotland League Cup | Ross County | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Montrose |
| 07/10/20 Scotland League Cup | Montrose | 3-3 HT 0-2 | Ross County |
| 13/07/19 Scotland League Cup | Ross County | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Montrose |
| 13/10/18 Scotland League Challenge Cup | Ross County | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Montrose |
| 18/07/17 Scotland League Cup | Montrose | 0-6 HT 0-4 | Ross County |
| 16/07/16 Scotland League Cup | Montrose | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ross County |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamilton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | East Kilbride | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Ross County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Airdrieonians | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Alloa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cove Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | East Fife | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Peterhead | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Queen of South | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 | Montrose | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ross County
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Airdrieonians Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 21/07 | Dundee Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Clyde Scotland League Cup |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/07 | Nairn County UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Inverness CT UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 30/06 | Clachnacuddin UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Forres Mechanics Club Friendly List |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Raith Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
Montrose
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Spartans Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 21/07 | Arbroath Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | Stirling Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 14/07 | Dundee Utd Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 08/07 | Inverurie Loco Works Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | St Johnstone Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/07 | Civil Service Strollers UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Forfar UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Stenhousemuir Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ross County vs Montrose?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ross County win (69%). Probabilities: Ross County 69%, draw 20%, Montrose 11%.
How many goals are expected in Ross County vs Montrose?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Ross County 2.11 · Montrose 0.72), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Ross County vs Montrose?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.