Prediction: Airdrieonians vs East Kilbride
Team pages: Airdrieonians · East Kilbride
- Airdrieonians1-1East Kilbride
- Airdrieonians8-0East Kilbride
| Airdrieonians | Draw | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 25% | 54% |
| Market | 21% | 24% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours East Kilbride (rating 1438 vs 1550).
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Airdrieonians | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 3.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 1.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 80/10/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.6 | 2.7 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Airdrieonians 1–1–0 East Kilbride
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/24 Scotland League Challenge Cup | Airdrieonians | 1-1 HT 0-1 | East Kilbride |
| 16/07/24 Scotland League Cup | Airdrieonians | 8-0 HT 6-0 | East Kilbride |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamilton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | East Kilbride | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Ross County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Airdrieonians | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Alloa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cove Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | East Fife | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Peterhead | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Queen of South | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 | Montrose | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Airdrieonians | East Kilbride |
|---|---|---|
| Cove Rangers | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Clyde | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Airdrieonians
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Ross County Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 14/07 | Clyde Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Dundee Scotland League Cup |
2-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 07/07 | Falkirk UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Ayr UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Elgin UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 09/05 | Alloa Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Alloa Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
East Kilbride
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 21/07 | St Mirren Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | Dumbarton Scotland League Cup |
3-1 | 5-3 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 14/07 | Cove Rangers Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Dunfermline Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Kelty Hearts UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Airdrieonians vs East Kilbride?
According to our model, the most likely result is an East Kilbride win (55%). Probabilities: Airdrieonians 21%, draw 25%, East Kilbride 55%.
How many goals are expected in Airdrieonians vs East Kilbride?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Airdrieonians 1.02 · East Kilbride 1.78), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Airdrieonians vs East Kilbride?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.