Prediction: East Kilbride vs Cove Rangers
Team pages: East Kilbride · Cove Rangers
- Cove Rangers3-2East Kilbride
- East Kilbride3-2Cove Rangers
| East Kilbride | Draw | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 20% | 15% |
| Market | 64% | 21% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours East Kilbride (rating 1559 vs 1428).
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| East Kilbride | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.9 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 1.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · East Kilbride 1–0–1 Cove Rangers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/26 Scotland League Cup | Cove Rangers | 3-2 HT 0-0 | East Kilbride |
| 07/09/24 Scotland League Challenge Cup | East Kilbride | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Cove Rangers |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamilton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Ross County | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | East Fife | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Peterhead | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Airdrieonians | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 7 | Alloa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Queen of South | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 | Montrose | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | East Kilbride | Cove Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Airdrieonians | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| St Mirren | 3-4 L | 0-4 L |
| Dumbarton | 5-3 W | 0-2 L |
| Dunfermline | 3-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: East Kilbride (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
East Kilbride
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 21/07 | St Mirren Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | Dumbarton Scotland League Cup |
3-1 | 5-3 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 14/07 | Cove Rangers Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Dunfermline Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Kelty Hearts UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
Cove Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Dumbarton Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 21/07 | Dunfermline Scotland League Cup |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | St Mirren Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | East Kilbride Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | St Johnstone UK Friendlies |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/07 | Inverness CT UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Huntly Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/07 | Turriff United UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in East Kilbride vs Cove Rangers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a East Kilbride win (64%). Probabilities: East Kilbride 64%, draw 21%, Cove Rangers 15%.
How many goals are expected in East Kilbride vs Cove Rangers?
The model expects 3.41 goals (East Kilbride 2.33 · Cove Rangers 1.08), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in East Kilbride vs Cove Rangers?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.