Prediction: Hamilton vs Airdrieonians
Team pages: Hamilton · Airdrieonians
- Airdrieonians4-0Hamilton
- Airdrieonians2-1Hamilton
- Hamilton3-2Airdrieonians
- Airdrieonians0-4Hamilton
- Hamilton2-2Airdrieonians
- Hamilton2-1Airdrieonians
| Hamilton | Draw | Airdrieonians | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Market | 39% | 27% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hamilton (rating 1571 vs 1450).
- H2H favours Hamilton: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hamilton | Airdrieonians | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.8 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.1 | 2.3 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hamilton 3–1–2 Airdrieonians
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 Scotland FA Cup | Airdrieonians | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Hamilton |
| 08/03/25 Scotland Championship | Airdrieonians | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Hamilton |
| 28/12/24 Scotland Championship | Hamilton | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Airdrieonians |
| 02/11/24 Scotland Championship | Airdrieonians | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Hamilton |
| 31/08/24 Scotland Championship | Hamilton | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Airdrieonians |
| 20/05/23 Scotland Championship Play-Offs | Hamilton | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Airdrieonians |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamilton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Ross County | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | East Fife | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Peterhead | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Airdrieonians | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 7 | Alloa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Queen of South | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 | Montrose | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hamilton | Airdrieonians |
|---|---|---|
| Alloa | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Elgin | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Clyde | 4-3 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hamilton (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hamilton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Alloa Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Montrose Scotland League One |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Elgin Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 21/07 | Kilmarnock Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Raith Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Peterhead Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Haverfordwest County UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Raith UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 15/05 | Clyde Scotland League One Play-Offs |
2-2 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Clyde Scotland League One Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Airdrieonians
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Ross County Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 14/07 | Clyde Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Dundee Scotland League Cup |
2-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 07/07 | Falkirk UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Ayr UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Elgin UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 09/05 | Alloa Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hamilton vs Airdrieonians?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hamilton win (39%). Probabilities: Hamilton 39%, draw 28%, Airdrieonians 33%.
How many goals are expected in Hamilton vs Airdrieonians?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Hamilton 1.4 · Airdrieonians 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hamilton vs Airdrieonians?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.