Football · Scotland League Two · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: Annan Athletic vs Spartans

Team pages: Annan Athletic · Spartans

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Annan Athletic1.24
Spartans1.55
1X2
30% 27% 44%
Annan Athletic Draw Spartans
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Annan Athletic 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLDWDWLLLL
Spartans 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LWDDLDLLLW
Head-to-head
Annan Athletic 0–1–3 Spartans (4 last)
  • Annan Athletic0-2Spartans
  • Spartans4-0Annan Athletic
  • Annan Athletic1-1Spartans
  • Spartans1-0Annan Athletic
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Annan Athletic 1415 · Spartans 1480
Annan AthleticDrawSpartans
Our model29%27%43%
Market30%26%44%
Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartans (rating 1415 vs 1480).
  • H2H favours Spartans: 3-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Annan AthleticSpartans
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 2.51.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.10.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 3.52.9 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.6 / 03.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Annan Athletic 013 Spartans

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
Scotland League Two
Annan Athletic0-2
HT 0-1
Spartans
28/02/26
Scotland League Two
Spartans4-0
HT 1-0
Annan Athletic
06/12/25
Scotland League Two
Annan Athletic1-1
HT 1-1
Spartans
30/08/25
Scotland League Two
Spartans1-0
HT 0-0
Annan Athletic

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Annan Athletic 000 000
1 Clyde 000 000
1 Dumbarton 000 000
1 Elgin 000 000
1 Forfar 000 000
1 Kelty Hearts 000 000
1 Spartans 000 000
1 Stirling 000 000
1 Stranraer 000 000
10 FC Edinburgh 000 00-5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Annan Athletic

LLDWDWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/07 Clyde
Scotland League Cup
1-4 1-4 23 L
18/07 Airdrieonians
Scotland League Cup
0-1 0-3 42 L
14/07 Dundee
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-5 20 L
11/07 Ross County
Scotland League Cup
0-1 1-4 12 L
30/06 Gretna 2008
UK Friendlies
1-1 4-2 72 W
27/06 Queen's Park
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 40 D
23/06 Johnstone Burgh
UK Friendlies
3-0 4-1 30 W
02/05 Forfar
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-1 52 D
25/04 Clyde
Scotland League Two
0-2 1-3 42 L
18/04 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-1 0-2 33 L

Spartans

LWDDLDLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Montrose
Scotland League Cup
1-0 2-0 61 W
21/07 Dundee Utd
Scotland League Cup
0-1 0-4 23 L
14/07 Stirling
Scotland League Cup
1-1 1-3 31 L
11/07 Arbroath
Scotland League Cup
0-1 1-2 44 L
09/05 Clyde
Scotland League One Play-Offs
1-0 1-1 52 D
05/05 Clyde
Scotland League One Play-Offs
0-1 0-2 56 L
02/05 Stirling
Scotland League Two
0-0 2-2 92 D
25/04 Elgin
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-1 44 D
18/04 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
1-0 2-0 83 W
11/04 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-2 65 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Annan Athletic vs Spartans?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Spartans win (44%). Probabilities: Annan Athletic 30%, draw 27%, Spartans 44%.

How many goals are expected in Annan Athletic vs Spartans?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Annan Athletic 1.24 · Spartans 1.55), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Annan Athletic vs Spartans?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.