Football · Scotland League Two · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Kelty Hearts vs Stirling

Team pages: Kelty Hearts · Stirling

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Kelty Hearts1.27
Stirling1.12
1X2
39% 29% 32%
Kelty Hearts Draw Stirling
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kelty Hearts 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LWLLLDLWLL
Stirling 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LDDDLLWLLW
Head-to-head
Kelty Hearts 3–1–2 Stirling (6 last)
  • Kelty Hearts1-0Stirling
  • Stirling5-0Kelty Hearts
  • Kelty Hearts1-0Stirling
  • Stirling1-0Kelty Hearts
  • Kelty Hearts1-1Stirling
  • Stirling0-3Kelty Hearts
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kelty Hearts 1434 · Stirling 1466
Kelty HeartsDrawStirling
Our model39%30%31%
Market40%28%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Kelty Hearts: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Kelty HeartsStirling
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 21.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 1.20.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.61.8 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.9 / 02.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kelty Hearts 312 Stirling

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/04/24
Scotland League One
Kelty Hearts1-0
HT 1-0
Stirling
27/01/24
Scotland League One
Stirling5-0
HT 1-0
Kelty Hearts
28/10/23
Scotland League One
Kelty Hearts1-0
HT 0-0
Stirling
26/08/23
Scotland League One
Stirling1-0
HT 0-0
Kelty Hearts
09/04/22
Scotland League Two
Kelty Hearts1-1
HT 1-1
Stirling
08/01/22
Scotland League Two
Stirling0-3
HT 0-1
Kelty Hearts

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Elgin 110 503
2 Spartans 110 423
3 Clyde 110 313
4 Stirling 110 203
5 Forfar 110 103
6 Kelty Hearts 101 010
7 Annan Athletic 101 240
8 Stranraer 101 130
9 Dumbarton 101 020
10 FC Edinburgh 101 05-5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kelty Hearts

LWLLLDLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Forfar
Scotland League Two
0-1 0-1 21 L
25/07 Aberdeen
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-3 02 L
21/07 Brora Rangers FC
Scotland League Cup
2-1 3-2 34 W
14/07 Queen's Park
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-2 50 L
11/07 Queen of South
Scotland League Cup
1-1 1-1 61 D
04/07 Dunfermline
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-3 40 L
27/06 East Kilbride
UK Friendlies
0-3 0-4 L
20/06 Gala Fairydean
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-2 L
02/05 Peterhead
Scotland League One
0-0 2-0 92 W
25/04 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
0-2 0-2 85 L

Stirling

LDDDLLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
1-0 2-0 76 W
25/07 Arbroath
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-1 23 L
18/07 Montrose
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-2 22 L
14/07 Spartans
Scotland League Cup
1-1 3-1 01 W
11/07 Dundee Utd
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-1 11 L
04/07 Tranent
UK Friendlies
0-2 0-2 21 L
02/05 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-0 2-2 32 D
25/04 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-1 33 D
18/04 Elgin
Scotland League Two
1-2 2-2 42 D
11/04 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
0-1 1-2 65 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kelty Hearts vs Stirling?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kelty Hearts win (39%). Probabilities: Kelty Hearts 39%, draw 29%, Stirling 32%.

How many goals are expected in Kelty Hearts vs Stirling?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Kelty Hearts 1.27 · Stirling 1.12), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kelty Hearts vs Stirling?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.