Football · Scotland League Two · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: FC Edinburgh vs Elgin

Team pages: FC Edinburgh · Elgin

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
FC Edinburgh1.97
Elgin1.3
1X2
53% 23% 25%
FC Edinburgh Draw Elgin
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Edinburgh 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LWDWDLLWLW
Elgin 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DDLDWWLLLL
Head-to-head
FC Edinburgh 3–3 Elgin (6 last)
  • FC Edinburgh0-3Elgin
  • Elgin3-0FC Edinburgh
  • FC Edinburgh1-3Elgin
  • Elgin2-4FC Edinburgh
  • FC Edinburgh2-0Elgin
  • Elgin1-2FC Edinburgh
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Edinburgh 1472 · Elgin 1496
FC EdinburghDrawElgin
Our model52%24%24%
Market53%22%25%
Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC EdinburghElgin
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.91.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.90.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 3.42.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 02.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Edinburgh 303 Elgin

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/03/26
Scotland League Two
FC Edinburgh0-3
HT 0-2
Elgin
24/02/26
Scotland League Two
Elgin3-0
HT 3-0
FC Edinburgh
08/11/25
Scotland League Two
FC Edinburgh1-3
HT 1-0
Elgin
23/08/25
Scotland League Two
Elgin2-4
HT 0-2
FC Edinburgh
12/04/25
Scotland League Two
FC Edinburgh2-0
HT 1-0
Elgin
22/02/25
Scotland League Two
Elgin1-2
HT 1-1
FC Edinburgh

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Annan Athletic 000 000
1 Clyde 000 000
1 Dumbarton 000 000
1 Elgin 000 000
1 Forfar 000 000
1 Kelty Hearts 000 000
1 Spartans 000 000
1 Stirling 000 000
1 Stranraer 000 000
10 FC Edinburgh 000 00-5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC EdinburghElgin
Stranraer 2-0 W 0-1 L
Raith 0-4 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Edinburgh

LWDWDLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/07 Stranraer
Scotland League Cup
2-0 2-0 74 W
18/07 Ayr
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-2 54 L
14/07 Alloa
Scotland League Cup
2-0 2-0 44 W
11/07 Falkirk
Scotland League Cup
0-4 0-5 33 L
30/06 Raith
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-4 00 L
27/06 Gala Fairydean
Club Friendly List
1-1 3-3 D
16/05 Brora Rangers FC
Scotland League Two Play-Offs
2-0 2-0 15 W
09/05 Brora Rangers FC
Scotland League Two Play-Offs
1-1 1-1 54 D
02/05 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
4-0 5-0 W
25/04 Forfar
Scotland League Two
0-2 0-4 20 L

Elgin

DDLDWWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Hamilton
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-5 32 L
18/07 Kilmarnock
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-1 64 L
14/07 Peterhead
Scotland League Cup
1-0 1-3 61 L
11/07 Raith
Scotland League Cup
0-2 1-3 12 L
04/07 Johnstone Burgh
Club Friendly List
3-2 W
30/06 Nairn County
UK Friendlies
2-0 6-0 W
27/06 Airdrieonians
UK Friendlies
1-1 1-1 40 D
02/05 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
0-0 0-1 53 L
25/04 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-1 34 D
18/04 Stirling
Scotland League Two
2-1 2-2 32 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Edinburgh vs Elgin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Edinburgh win (53%). Probabilities: FC Edinburgh 53%, draw 23%, Elgin 25%.

How many goals are expected in FC Edinburgh vs Elgin?

The model expects 3.27 goals (FC Edinburgh 1.97 · Elgin 1.3), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Edinburgh vs Elgin?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.