Prediction: Elgin vs Forfar
- Forfar2-1Elgin
- Elgin2-0Forfar
- Forfar4-2Elgin
- Elgin2-1Forfar
- Elgin0-1Forfar
- Forfar1-1Elgin
| Elgin | Draw | Forfar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 47% | 27% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elgin (rating 1492 vs 1450).
- H2H favours Forfar: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Elgin | Forfar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 0.8 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/44/22% | 22/33/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.1 | 0.7 / 2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 1.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elgin 2–1–3 Forfar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Scotland League Two | Forfar | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Elgin |
| 24/03/26 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Forfar |
| 27/12/25 Scotland League Two | Forfar | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Elgin |
| 04/10/25 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Forfar |
| 08/03/25 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Forfar |
| 11/01/25 Scotland League Two | Forfar | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Elgin |
Standings · Scotland League Two
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elgin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Spartans | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Clyde | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Stirling | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Forfar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 | Annan Athletic | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 8 | Stranraer | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Dumbarton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | FC Edinburgh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Elgin | Forfar |
|---|---|---|
| Hamilton | 0-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Peterhead | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elgin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Hamilton Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Kilmarnock Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/07 | Peterhead Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Raith Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Johnstone Burgh Club Friendly List |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 30/06 | Nairn County UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Airdrieonians UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Forfar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Brechin Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/07 | Livingston Scotland League Cup |
0-4 | 0-8 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Partick Scotland League Cup |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Stenhousemuir Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 07/07 | Peterhead Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Banks O'Dee Club Friendly List |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 30/06 | St Johnstone UK Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Montrose UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 09/05 | Hamilton Scotland League One Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elgin vs Forfar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Elgin win (47%). Probabilities: Elgin 47%, draw 26%, Forfar 26%.
How many goals are expected in Elgin vs Forfar?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Elgin 1.75 · Forfar 1.27), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Elgin vs Forfar?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

