Football · Scotland League Two · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Elgin vs Forfar

Team pages: Elgin · Forfar

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Elgin1.75
Forfar1.27
1X2
47% 26% 26%
Elgin Draw Forfar
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Elgin 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DLDWWLLLLW
Forfar 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LDLDLLLLWW
Head-to-head
Elgin 2–1–3 Forfar (6 last)
  • Forfar2-1Elgin
  • Elgin2-0Forfar
  • Forfar4-2Elgin
  • Elgin2-1Forfar
  • Elgin0-1Forfar
  • Forfar1-1Elgin
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Elgin 1492 · Forfar 1450
ElginDrawForfar
Our model48%26%27%
Market47%27%26%
Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elgin (rating 1492 vs 1450).
  • H2H favours Forfar: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ElginForfar
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.70.8 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.60.3 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/44/22%22/33/44%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.10.7 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 0.11.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Elgin 213 Forfar

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/04/26
Scotland League Two
Forfar2-1
HT 2-1
Elgin
24/03/26
Scotland League Two
Elgin2-0
HT 0-0
Forfar
27/12/25
Scotland League Two
Forfar4-2
HT 2-1
Elgin
04/10/25
Scotland League Two
Elgin2-1
HT 0-1
Forfar
08/03/25
Scotland League Two
Elgin0-1
HT 0-0
Forfar
11/01/25
Scotland League Two
Forfar1-1
HT 0-0
Elgin

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Elgin 110 503
2 Spartans 110 423
3 Clyde 110 313
4 Stirling 110 203
5 Forfar 110 103
6 Kelty Hearts 101 010
7 Annan Athletic 101 240
8 Stranraer 101 130
9 Dumbarton 101 020
10 FC Edinburgh 101 05-5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentElginForfar
Hamilton 0-5 L 1-2 L
Peterhead 1-3 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Elgin

DLDWWLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
3-0 5-0 54 W
25/07 Hamilton
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-5 32 L
18/07 Kilmarnock
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-1 64 L
14/07 Peterhead
Scotland League Cup
1-0 1-3 61 L
11/07 Raith
Scotland League Cup
0-2 1-3 12 L
04/07 Johnstone Burgh
Club Friendly List
3-2 W
30/06 Nairn County
UK Friendlies
2-0 6-0 W
27/06 Airdrieonians
UK Friendlies
1-1 1-1 40 D
02/05 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
0-0 0-1 53 L
25/04 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-1 34 D

Forfar

LDLDLLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-0 41 W
25/07 Brechin
Scotland League Cup
2-0 3-1 55 W
21/07 Livingston
Scotland League Cup
0-4 0-8 11 L
14/07 Partick
Scotland League Cup
0-3 0-4 02 L
11/07 Stenhousemuir
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-2 00 L
07/07 Peterhead
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-3 L
04/07 Banks O'Dee
Club Friendly List
2-2 D
30/06 St Johnstone
UK Friendlies
0-3 0-4 30 L
27/06 Montrose
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-1 00 D
09/05 Hamilton
Scotland League One Play-Offs
0-0 1-2 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elgin vs Forfar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Elgin win (47%). Probabilities: Elgin 47%, draw 26%, Forfar 26%.

How many goals are expected in Elgin vs Forfar?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Elgin 1.75 · Forfar 1.27), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Elgin vs Forfar?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.