Football · Scotland League Two · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Dumbarton vs Clyde
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Dumbarton1.2
Clyde1.73
1X2
Dumbarton
Draw
Clyde
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dumbarton
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Clyde
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dumbarton
2–1–3
Clyde
(6 last)
- Clyde2-0Dumbarton
- Dumbarton0-0Clyde
- Clyde3-1Dumbarton
- Dumbarton2-1Clyde
- Dumbarton1-0Clyde
- Clyde2-0Dumbarton
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dumbarton 1404 · Clyde 1486
| Dumbarton | Draw | Clyde | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 26% | 48% |
| Market | 26% | 26% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clyde (rating 1404 vs 1486).
- H2H favours Clyde: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dumbarton | Clyde | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 3 | 1.6 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/10/80% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.3 | 3.3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dumbarton 2–1–3 Clyde
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Scotland League Two | Clyde | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Dumbarton |
| 24/02/26 Scotland League Two | Dumbarton | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Clyde |
| 01/11/25 Scotland League Two | Clyde | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Dumbarton |
| 02/08/25 Scotland League Two | Dumbarton | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Clyde |
| 13/04/24 Scotland League Two | Dumbarton | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Clyde |
| 17/02/24 Scotland League Two | Clyde | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dumbarton |
Standings · Scotland League Two
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elgin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Spartans | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Clyde | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Stirling | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Forfar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 | Annan Athletic | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 8 | Stranraer | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Dumbarton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | FC Edinburgh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dumbarton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Cove Rangers Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | East Kilbride Scotland League Cup |
1-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 14/07 | Dunfermline Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | St Mirren Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 30/06 | Ayr UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 20/06 | Linlithgow Rose Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-4 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | East Kilbride Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Clyde
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
3-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Dundee Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Cup |
4-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Ross County Scotland League Cup |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/07 | Airdrieonians Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Rutherglen Glencairn UK Friendlies |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 30/06 | Queen's Park UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Dunfermline UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 15/05 | Hamilton Scotland League One Play-Offs |
2-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 12/05 | Hamilton Scotland League One Play-Offs |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dumbarton vs Clyde?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Clyde win (49%). Probabilities: Dumbarton 26%, draw 26%, Clyde 49%.
How many goals are expected in Dumbarton vs Clyde?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Dumbarton 1.2 · Clyde 1.73), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Dumbarton vs Clyde?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.