Football · Scotland League Two · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Stranraer vs Annan Athletic

Team pages: Stranraer · Annan Athletic

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Stranraer1.55
Annan Athletic1.04
1X2
48% 27% 25%
Stranraer Draw Annan Athletic
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stranraer 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DWDWDLDLLL
Annan Athletic 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LDWDWLLLLL
Head-to-head
Stranraer 0–2–4 Annan Athletic (6 last)
  • Annan Athletic1-0Stranraer
  • Stranraer0-0Annan Athletic
  • Annan Athletic2-2Stranraer
  • Stranraer0-1Annan Athletic
  • Stranraer1-5Annan Athletic
  • Annan Athletic3-1Stranraer
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stranraer 1448 · Annan Athletic 1435
StranraerDrawAnnan Athletic
Our model48%28%24%
Market49%26%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Annan Athletic: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

StranraerAnnan Athletic
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.41.4 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 61.5 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.12 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stranraer 024 Annan Athletic

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Scotland League Two
Annan Athletic1-0
HT 1-0
Stranraer
07/02/26
Scotland League Two
Stranraer0-0
HT 0-0
Annan Athletic
27/12/25
Scotland League Two
Annan Athletic2-2
HT 2-2
Stranraer
04/10/25
Scotland League Two
Stranraer0-1
HT 0-0
Annan Athletic
07/09/24
Scotland League Challenge Cup
Stranraer1-5
HT 1-3
Annan Athletic
15/08/23
Scotland League Challenge Cup
Annan Athletic3-1
HT 1-1
Stranraer

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Elgin 110 503
2 Spartans 110 423
3 Clyde 110 313
4 Stirling 110 203
5 Forfar 110 103
6 Kelty Hearts 101 010
7 Annan Athletic 101 240
8 Stranraer 101 130
9 Dumbarton 101 020
10 FC Edinburgh 101 05-5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stranraer

DWDWDLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Clyde
Scotland League Two
1-3 1-3 73 L
25/07 Falkirk
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-3 32 L
21/07 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-2 34 L
18/07 Alloa
Scotland League Cup
1-0 2-2 32 D
11/07 Ayr
Scotland League Cup
1-0 2-3 06 L
04/07 Morton
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 81 D
27/06 Dundela
Club Friendly List
1-0 4-0 W
20/06 Larne FC
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 100 D
02/05 Elgin
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-0 73 W
25/04 Stirling
Scotland League Two
0-1 1-1 133 D

Annan Athletic

LDWDWLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Spartans
Scotland League Two
1-0 2-4 77 L
21/07 Clyde
Scotland League Cup
1-4 1-4 23 L
18/07 Airdrieonians
Scotland League Cup
0-1 0-3 42 L
14/07 Dundee
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-5 20 L
11/07 Ross County
Scotland League Cup
0-1 1-4 12 L
30/06 Gretna 2008
UK Friendlies
1-1 4-2 72 W
27/06 Queen's Park
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 40 D
23/06 Johnstone Burgh
UK Friendlies
3-0 4-1 30 W
02/05 Forfar
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-1 52 D
25/04 Clyde
Scotland League Two
0-2 1-3 42 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stranraer vs Annan Athletic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stranraer win (48%). Probabilities: Stranraer 48%, draw 27%, Annan Athletic 25%.

How many goals are expected in Stranraer vs Annan Athletic?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Stranraer 1.55 · Annan Athletic 1.04), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Stranraer vs Annan Athletic?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.