Football · Scotland League Two · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: Forfar vs Kelty Hearts

Team pages: Forfar · Kelty Hearts

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Forfar1.23
Kelty Hearts1.56
1X2
29% 26% 44%
Forfar Draw Kelty Hearts
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Forfar 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLDLDLLLLW
Kelty Hearts 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLWLLLDLWL
Head-to-head
Forfar 1–2–2 Kelty Hearts (5 last)
  • Forfar1-2Kelty Hearts
  • Kelty Hearts1-1Forfar
  • Forfar1-0Kelty Hearts
  • Kelty Hearts1-0Forfar
  • Forfar2-2Kelty Hearts
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Forfar 1442 · Kelty Hearts 1439
ForfarDrawKelty Hearts
Our model29%27%44%
Market30%25%45%
Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Kelty Hearts: 2-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ForfarKelty Hearts
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 30.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 1.30.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/33/56%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)0.6 / 1.82.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.5 / 02 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Forfar 122 Kelty Hearts

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/08/22
Scotland League Challenge Cup
Forfar1-2
HT 0-1
Kelty Hearts
23/04/22
Scotland League Two
Kelty Hearts1-1
HT 1-0
Forfar
19/02/22
Scotland League Two
Forfar1-0
HT 0-0
Kelty Hearts
13/11/21
Scotland League Two
Kelty Hearts1-0
HT 0-0
Forfar
14/08/21
Scotland League Two
Forfar2-2
HT 2-1
Kelty Hearts

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Annan Athletic 000 000
1 Clyde 000 000
1 Dumbarton 000 000
1 Elgin 000 000
1 Forfar 000 000
1 Kelty Hearts 000 000
1 Spartans 000 000
1 Stirling 000 000
1 Stranraer 000 000
10 FC Edinburgh 000 00-5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Forfar

LLDLDLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Brechin
Scotland League Cup
2-0 3-1 55 W
21/07 Livingston
Scotland League Cup
0-4 0-8 11 L
14/07 Partick
Scotland League Cup
0-3 0-4 02 L
11/07 Stenhousemuir
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-2 00 L
07/07 Peterhead
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-3 L
04/07 Banks O'Dee
Club Friendly List
2-2 D
30/06 St Johnstone
UK Friendlies
0-3 0-4 30 L
27/06 Montrose
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-1 00 D
09/05 Hamilton
Scotland League One Play-Offs
0-0 1-2 33 L
05/05 Hamilton
Scotland League One Play-Offs
0-1 1-3 21 L

Kelty Hearts

LLWLLLDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Aberdeen
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-3 02 L
21/07 Brora Rangers FC
Scotland League Cup
2-1 3-2 34 W
14/07 Queen's Park
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-2 50 L
11/07 Queen of South
Scotland League Cup
1-1 1-1 61 D
04/07 Dunfermline
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-3 40 L
27/06 East Kilbride
UK Friendlies
0-3 0-4 L
20/06 Gala Fairydean
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-2 L
02/05 Peterhead
Scotland League One
0-0 2-0 92 W
25/04 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
0-2 0-2 85 L
18/04 Inverness CT
Scotland League One
0-0 0-1 52 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Forfar vs Kelty Hearts?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kelty Hearts win (44%). Probabilities: Forfar 29%, draw 26%, Kelty Hearts 44%.

How many goals are expected in Forfar vs Kelty Hearts?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Forfar 1.23 · Kelty Hearts 1.56), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Forfar vs Kelty Hearts?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.