Football · Scotland League Two · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: Stirling vs Dumbarton

Team pages: Stirling · Dumbarton

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Stirling1.62
Dumbarton1.49
1X2
40% 26% 34%
Stirling Draw Dumbarton
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stirling 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LLDDDLLWLL
Dumbarton 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
WLLLLLLLLW
Head-to-head
Stirling 1–3–2 Dumbarton (6 last)
  • Dumbarton2-1Stirling
  • Stirling1-1Dumbarton
  • Dumbarton1-2Stirling
  • Stirling2-2Dumbarton
  • Dumbarton1-0Stirling
  • Stirling0-0Dumbarton
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stirling 1451 · Dumbarton 1420
StirlingDrawDumbarton
Our model40%26%34%
Market40%26%34%
Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Dumbarton: 2-3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

StirlingDumbarton
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.71.1 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 10.4 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 2.82.3 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 0.21.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stirling 132 Dumbarton

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26
Scotland League Two
Dumbarton2-1
HT 1-0
Stirling
28/02/26
Scotland League Two
Stirling1-1
HT 1-0
Dumbarton
27/12/25
Scotland League Two
Dumbarton1-2
HT 0-1
Stirling
04/10/25
Scotland League Two
Stirling2-2
HT 1-1
Dumbarton
15/07/25
Scotland League Cup
Dumbarton1-0
HT 0-0
Stirling
11/05/24
Scotland League One Play-Offs
Stirling0-0
HT 0-0
Dumbarton

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Annan Athletic 000 000
1 Clyde 000 000
1 Dumbarton 000 000
1 Elgin 000 000
1 Forfar 000 000
1 Kelty Hearts 000 000
1 Spartans 000 000
1 Stirling 000 000
1 Stranraer 000 000
10 FC Edinburgh 000 00-5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stirling

LLDDDLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Arbroath
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-1 23 L
18/07 Montrose
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-2 22 L
14/07 Spartans
Scotland League Cup
1-1 3-1 01 W
11/07 Dundee Utd
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-1 11 L
04/07 Tranent
UK Friendlies
0-2 0-2 21 L
02/05 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-0 2-2 32 D
25/04 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-1 33 D
18/04 Elgin
Scotland League Two
1-2 2-2 42 D
11/04 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
0-1 1-2 65 L
04/04 Clyde
Scotland League Two
1-2 1-3 52 L

Dumbarton

WLLLLLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Cove Rangers
Scotland League Cup
1-0 2-0 31 W
18/07 East Kilbride
Scotland League Cup
1-3 3-5 22 L
14/07 Dunfermline
Scotland League Cup
0-2 1-4 31 L
11/07 St Mirren
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-4 00 L
30/06 Ayr
UK Friendlies
0-2 0-3 60 L
20/06 Linlithgow Rose
Club Friendly List
1-2 3-4 L
02/05 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-4 0-5 L
25/04 East Kilbride
Scotland League Two
0-1 0-1 34 L
18/04 Clyde
Scotland League Two
0-0 0-2 13 L
11/04 Stirling
Scotland League Two
1-0 2-1 105 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stirling vs Dumbarton?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stirling win (40%). Probabilities: Stirling 40%, draw 26%, Dumbarton 34%.

How many goals are expected in Stirling vs Dumbarton?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Stirling 1.62 · Dumbarton 1.49), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stirling vs Dumbarton?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.