Prediction: Elgin vs Kelty Hearts
Team pages: Elgin · Kelty Hearts
- Elgin3-2Kelty Hearts
- Kelty Hearts3-1Elgin
- Elgin1-1Kelty Hearts
- Elgin0-0Kelty Hearts
- Kelty Hearts4-0Elgin
- Elgin2-0Kelty Hearts
| Elgin | Draw | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 26% | 40% |
| Market | 34% | 26% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Elgin | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/44/22% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.1 | 2.1 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elgin 2–2–2 Kelty Hearts
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/24 Scotland FA Cup | Elgin | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Kelty Hearts |
| 07/09/24 Scotland League Challenge Cup | Kelty Hearts | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Elgin |
| 16/07/24 Scotland League Cup | Elgin | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Kelty Hearts |
| 19/03/22 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kelty Hearts |
| 05/02/22 Scotland League Two | Kelty Hearts | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Elgin |
| 25/01/22 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Kelty Hearts |
Standings · Scotland League Two
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elgin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Spartans | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | Forfar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Stirling | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Clyde | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Annan Athletic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Dumbarton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Stranraer | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 | FC Edinburgh | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -4 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Elgin | Kelty Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Forfar | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Peterhead | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elgin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Hamilton Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Kilmarnock Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/07 | Peterhead Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Raith Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Johnstone Burgh Club Friendly List |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 30/06 | Nairn County UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Airdrieonians UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
Kelty Hearts
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 01/08 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Aberdeen Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 21/07 | Brora Rangers FC Scotland League Cup |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Queen's Park Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Queen of South Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 04/07 | Dunfermline UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | East Kilbride UK Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Gala Fairydean Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elgin vs Kelty Hearts?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kelty Hearts win (40%). Probabilities: Elgin 34%, draw 26%, Kelty Hearts 40%.
How many goals are expected in Elgin vs Kelty Hearts?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Elgin 1.45 · Kelty Hearts 1.58), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Elgin vs Kelty Hearts?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.