Football · Scotland League Two · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Spartans vs Elgin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.29Total
Spartans1.96
Elgin1.34
1X2
Spartans
Draw
Elgin
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Spartans
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Elgin
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spartans
3–2–1
Elgin
(6 last)
- Spartans1-1Elgin
- Elgin3-3Spartans
- Spartans1-0Elgin
- Elgin2-3Spartans
- Spartans1-2Elgin
- Elgin0-2Spartans
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spartans 1483 · Elgin 1485
| Spartans | Draw | Elgin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Spartans: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spartans | Elgin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 2.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 44/33/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.2 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartans 3–2–1 Elgin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Scotland League Two | Spartans | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Elgin |
| 31/01/26 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Spartans |
| 20/12/25 Scotland League Two | Spartans | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Elgin |
| 27/09/25 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Spartans |
| 22/03/25 Scotland League Two | Spartans | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Elgin |
| 11/03/25 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Spartans |
Standings · Scotland League Two
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elgin | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Forfar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Clyde | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Spartans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 5 | Annan Athletic | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 5 | Stirling | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 7 | Stranraer | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 9 | Dumbarton | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Edinburgh | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spartans
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 11/08 | East Fife Scotland League Challenge Cup |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 01/08 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | Montrose Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Dundee Utd Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 14/07 | Stirling Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Arbroath Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Clyde Scotland League One Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 05/05 | Clyde Scotland League One Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
Elgin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/08 | Ross County Scotland League Challenge Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Hamilton Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Kilmarnock Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/07 | Peterhead Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Raith Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Johnstone Burgh Club Friendly List |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 30/06 | Nairn County UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spartans vs Elgin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartans win (50%). Probabilities: Spartans 50%, draw 25%, Elgin 25%.
How many goals are expected in Spartans vs Elgin?
The model expects 3.29 goals (Spartans 1.96 · Elgin 1.34), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Spartans vs Elgin?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.