Football · Scotland League Two · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: FC Edinburgh vs Annan Athletic

Team pages: FC Edinburgh · Annan Athletic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

FC Edinburgh1.85

Annan Athletic1.32

1X2

49% 25% 26%

FC Edinburgh Draw Annan Athletic

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Edinburgh 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Annan Athletic 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DWLLLLLWLL

Head-to-head

FC Edinburgh 0–3–3 Annan Athletic (6 last)

Annan Athletic3-0FC Edinburgh
FC Edinburgh2-2Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic1-1FC Edinburgh
FC Edinburgh2-2Annan Athletic
FC Edinburgh1-2Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic3-0FC Edinburgh

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Edinburgh 1489 · Annan Athletic 1429

	FC Edinburgh	Draw	Annan Athletic
Our model	49%	25%	26%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Edinburgh (rating 1489 vs 1429).
H2H favours Annan Athletic: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Edinburgh	Annan Athletic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.2	1 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.1	1.7 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.60

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:06 +5’	1.83	3.60	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Edinburgh 0–3–3 Annan Athletic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Scotland League Two	Annan Athletic	3-0 HT 3-0	FC Edinburgh
24/01/26 Scotland League Two	FC Edinburgh	2-2 HT 0-0	Annan Athletic
15/11/25 Scotland League Two	Annan Athletic	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Edinburgh
16/08/25 Scotland League Two	FC Edinburgh	2-2 HT 0-2	Annan Athletic
20/04/24 Scotland League One	FC Edinburgh	1-2 HT 1-1	Annan Athletic
27/01/24 Scotland League One	Annan Athletic	3-0 HT 1-0	FC Edinburgh

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elgin	3	2	1	0	10	2	7
2	Forfar	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
3	Clyde	3	2	0	1	5	3	6
4	Spartans	3	1	1	1	6	5	4
5	Annan Athletic	3	1	0	2	4	6	3
5	Stirling	3	1	0	2	4	6	3
7	Stranraer	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
8	Kelty Hearts	3	1	0	2	4	7	3
9	Dumbarton	3	1	0	2	1	5	3
10	FC Edinburgh	3	1	1	1	5	7	-1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Edinburgh	Annan Athletic
Spartans	2-2 D	2-4 L
Stranraer	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Edinburgh (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Edinburgh

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Dumbarton Scotland League Two	2-0	3-0	2	3	W
11/08	Cowdenbeath Scotland League Challenge Cup	3-0	3-1	0	4	W
08/08	Spartans Scotland League Two	1-0	2-2	4	8	D
01/08	Elgin Scotland League Two	0-3	0-5	3	4	L
21/07	Stranraer Scotland League Cup	2-0	2-0	7	4	W
18/07	Ayr Scotland League Cup	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
14/07	Alloa Scotland League Cup	2-0	2-0	4	4	W
11/07	Falkirk Scotland League Cup	0-4	0-5	3	3	L
30/06	Raith UK Friendlies	0-1	0-4	0	0	L
27/06	Gala Fairydean Club Friendly List	1-1	3-3	–	–	D

Annan Athletic

DWLLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Clyde Scotland League Two	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
11/08	Bonnyrigg Rose Scotland League Challenge Cup	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
08/08	Stranraer Scotland League Two	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
01/08	Spartans Scotland League Two	1-0	2-4	7	7	L
21/07	Clyde Scotland League Cup	1-4	1-4	2	3	L
18/07	Airdrieonians Scotland League Cup	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
14/07	Dundee Scotland League Cup	0-0	0-5	2	0	L
11/07	Ross County Scotland League Cup	0-1	1-4	1	2	L
30/06	Gretna 2008 UK Friendlies	1-1	4-2	7	2	W
27/06	Queen's Park UK Friendlies	0-0	0-0	4	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Edinburgh vs Annan Athletic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Edinburgh win (49%). Probabilities: FC Edinburgh 49%, draw 25%, Annan Athletic 26%.

How many goals are expected in FC Edinburgh vs Annan Athletic?

The model expects 3.17 goals (FC Edinburgh 1.85 · Annan Athletic 1.32), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Edinburgh vs Annan Athletic?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.