Football · Scotland League Two · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Stranraer vs Spartans

Team pages: Stranraer · Spartans

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Stranraer1.26
Spartans1.49
1X2
31% 27% 42%
Stranraer Draw Spartans
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stranraer 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WDWDLDLLLL
Spartans 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DDLDLLLWWD
Head-to-head
Stranraer 4–2 Spartans (6 last)
  • Spartans1-2Stranraer
  • Stranraer2-1Spartans
  • Spartans0-4Stranraer
  • Stranraer0-2Spartans
  • Spartans2-1Stranraer
  • Stranraer2-0Spartans
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stranraer 1467 · Spartans 1459
StranraerDrawSpartans
Our model31%28%41%
Market31%27%42%
Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Stranraer: 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

StranraerSpartans
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.41.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.12.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 03.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stranraer 402 Spartans

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26
Scotland League Two
Spartans1-2
HT 1-1
Stranraer
21/02/26
Scotland League Two
Stranraer2-1
HT 1-0
Spartans
22/11/25
Scotland League Two
Spartans0-4
HT 0-4
Stranraer
13/09/25
Scotland League Two
Stranraer0-2
HT 0-0
Spartans
05/04/25
Scotland League Two
Spartans2-1
HT 1-0
Stranraer
01/02/25
Scotland League Two
Stranraer2-0
HT 1-0
Spartans

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Elgin 2110 614
2 Spartans 2110 644
3 Forfar 2110 214
4 Stirling 2101 433
5 Clyde 2101 323
6 Kelty Hearts 2101 333
7 Annan Athletic 2101 343
8 Dumbarton 2101 123
9 Stranraer 2002 140
10 FC Edinburgh 2011 27-4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentStranraerSpartans
Annan Athletic 0-1 L 4-2 W
Clyde 1-3 L 1-1 D
FC Edinburgh 0-2 L 2-2 D
Elgin 1-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Spartans (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stranraer

WDWDLDLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
0-0 0-1 54 L
01/08 Clyde
Scotland League Two
1-3 1-3 73 L
25/07 Falkirk
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-3 32 L
21/07 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-2 34 L
18/07 Alloa
Scotland League Cup
1-0 2-2 32 D
11/07 Ayr
Scotland League Cup
1-0 2-3 06 L
04/07 Morton
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 81 D
27/06 Dundela
Club Friendly List
1-0 4-0 W
20/06 Larne FC
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 100 D
02/05 Elgin
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-0 73 W

Spartans

DDLDLLLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-1 2-2 28 D
01/08 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
0-1 4-2 47 W
25/07 Montrose
Scotland League Cup
1-0 2-0 61 W
21/07 Dundee Utd
Scotland League Cup
0-1 0-4 23 L
14/07 Stirling
Scotland League Cup
1-1 1-3 31 L
11/07 Arbroath
Scotland League Cup
0-1 1-2 44 L
09/05 Clyde
Scotland League One Play-Offs
1-0 1-1 52 D
05/05 Clyde
Scotland League One Play-Offs
0-1 0-2 56 L
02/05 Stirling
Scotland League Two
0-0 2-2 92 D
25/04 Elgin
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-1 44 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stranraer vs Spartans?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Spartans win (42%). Probabilities: Stranraer 31%, draw 27%, Spartans 42%.

How many goals are expected in Stranraer vs Spartans?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Stranraer 1.26 · Spartans 1.49), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Stranraer vs Spartans?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.