Football · Scotland League Two · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: Stirling vs Stranraer

Team pages: Stirling · Stranraer

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Stirling1.41
Stranraer1.27
1X2
39% 28% 33%
Stirling Draw Stranraer
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stirling 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
DLLWLLWLWL
Stranraer 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
WDLDLLLLLW
Head-to-head
Stirling 2–2–2 Stranraer (6 last)
  • Stranraer1-1Stirling
  • Stirling1-1Stranraer
  • Stranraer3-2Stirling
  • Stirling1-0Stranraer
  • Stirling3-1Stranraer
  • Stranraer3-0Stirling
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stirling 1457 · Stranraer 1441
StirlingDrawStranraer
Our model39%28%33%
Market40%27%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

StirlingStranraer
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.71.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.90.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 2.92.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 03.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stirling 222 Stranraer

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Scotland League Two
Stranraer1-1
HT 0-1
Stirling
31/01/26
Scotland League Two
Stirling1-1
HT 1-0
Stranraer
06/12/25
Scotland League Two
Stranraer3-2
HT 3-1
Stirling
30/08/25
Scotland League Two
Stirling1-0
HT 0-0
Stranraer
12/04/25
Scotland League Two
Stirling3-1
HT 0-1
Stranraer
22/02/25
Scotland League Two
Stranraer3-0
HT 2-0
Stirling

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Elgin 3210 1027
2 Forfar 3210 517
3 Clyde 3201 536
4 Spartans 3111 654
5 Annan Athletic 3102 463
5 Stirling 3102 463
7 Stranraer 3102 243
8 Kelty Hearts 3102 473
9 Dumbarton 3102 153
10 FC Edinburgh 3111 57-1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stirling

DLLWLLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Forfar
Scotland League Two
0-2 0-3 53 L
11/08 Cove Rangers
Scotland League Challenge Cup
3-0 4-2 44 W
08/08 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Two
0-2 2-3 39 L
01/08 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
1-0 2-0 76 W
25/07 Arbroath
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-1 23 L
18/07 Montrose
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-2 22 L
14/07 Spartans
Scotland League Cup
1-1 3-1 01 W
11/07 Dundee Utd
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-1 11 L
04/07 Tranent
UK Friendlies
0-2 0-2 21 L
02/05 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-0 2-2 32 D

Stranraer

WDLDLLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-0 105 W
11/08 Alloa
Scotland League Challenge Cup
0-0 1-2 72 L
08/08 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
0-0 0-1 54 L
01/08 Clyde
Scotland League Two
1-3 1-3 73 L
25/07 Falkirk
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-3 32 L
21/07 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Cup
0-2 0-2 34 L
18/07 Alloa
Scotland League Cup
1-0 2-2 32 D
11/07 Ayr
Scotland League Cup
1-0 2-3 06 L
04/07 Morton
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 81 D
27/06 Dundela
Club Friendly List
1-0 4-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stirling vs Stranraer?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stirling win (39%). Probabilities: Stirling 39%, draw 28%, Stranraer 33%.

How many goals are expected in Stirling vs Stranraer?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Stirling 1.41 · Stranraer 1.27), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Stirling vs Stranraer?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.