Football · Scotland League Two · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Forfar vs Stranraer

Team pages: Forfar · Stranraer

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Forfar1.18
Stranraer1.37
1X2
31% 28% 40%
Forfar Draw Stranraer
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Forfar 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWDWDWLD
Stranraer 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWLDWLLWDW
Head-to-head
Forfar 4–1–1 Stranraer (6 last)
  • Stranraer0-1Forfar
  • Forfar2-2Stranraer
  • Stranraer3-1Forfar
  • Forfar1-0Stranraer
  • Stranraer0-1Forfar
  • Stranraer1-2Forfar
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Forfar 1474 · Stranraer 1475
ForfarDrawStranraer
Our model31%29%40%
Market32%28%40%
Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Forfar: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ForfarStranraer
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.71.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.50.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 5.63.1 / 7.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 04.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Forfar 411 Stranraer

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
Scotland League Two
Stranraer0-1
HT 0-0
Forfar
10/01/26
Scotland League Two
Forfar2-2
HT 1-1
Stranraer
01/11/25
Scotland League Two
Stranraer3-1
HT 1-0
Forfar
02/08/25
Scotland League Two
Forfar1-0
HT 1-0
Stranraer
22/03/25
Scotland League Two
Stranraer0-1
HT 0-0
Forfar
04/03/25
Scotland League Two
Stranraer1-2
HT 1-0
Forfar

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Elgin 5320 17511
2 Clyde 5311 11610
3 Forfar 5221 658
4 Stranraer 5212 667
5 Spartans 5131 12116
6 Annan Athletic 5203 676
7 Kelty Hearts 5203 7106
8 Stirling 5113 6124
9 FC Edinburgh 5221 783
10 Dumbarton 5104 2103

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentForfarStranraer
Clyde 0-3 L 1-3 L
Stirling 3-0 W 2-2 D
Elgin 1-1 D 1-0 W
Kelty Hearts 1-0 W 2-0 W
Annan Athletic 1-1 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Stranraer (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Forfar

WWWWDWDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-1 86 D
22/08 Clyde
Scotland League Two
0-2 0-3 42 L
15/08 Stirling
Scotland League Two
2-0 3-0 83 W
08/08 Elgin
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-1 55 D
01/08 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-0 41 W
02/05 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-1 82 D
25/04 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
2-0 4-0 80 W
18/04 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-0 17 W
11/04 East Kilbride
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-0 45 W
04/04 Elgin
Scotland League Two
2-1 2-1 66 W

Stranraer

DWLDWLLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Two
2-0 2-0 65 W
22/08 Stirling
Scotland League Two
2-0 2-2 85 D
15/08 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-0 105 W
08/08 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
0-0 0-1 54 L
01/08 Clyde
Scotland League Two
1-3 1-3 73 L
02/05 Elgin
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-0 73 W
25/04 Stirling
Scotland League Two
0-1 1-1 133 D
18/04 Forfar
Scotland League Two
0-0 0-1 57 L
11/04 Spartans
Scotland League Two
1-1 2-1 75 W
04/04 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
0-1 1-1 82 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Forfar vs Stranraer?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stranraer win (40%). Probabilities: Forfar 31%, draw 28%, Stranraer 40%.

How many goals are expected in Forfar vs Stranraer?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Forfar 1.18 · Stranraer 1.37), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Forfar vs Stranraer?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.