Prediction: Annan Athletic vs Elgin
Team pages: Annan Athletic · Elgin
- Elgin0-3Annan Athletic
- Annan Athletic2-1Elgin
- Elgin2-0Annan Athletic
- Annan Athletic3-2Elgin
- Annan Athletic1-2Elgin
- Elgin2-4Annan Athletic
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Elgin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 27% | 40% |
| Market | 33% | 26% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elgin (rating 1430 vs 1483).
- H2H favours Annan Athletic: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Annan Athletic | Elgin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 2.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.5 | 1.9 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Annan Athletic 4–0–2 Elgin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Annan Athletic |
| 10/03/26 Scotland League Two | Annan Athletic | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Elgin |
| 01/11/25 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Annan Athletic |
| 02/08/25 Scotland League Two | Annan Athletic | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Elgin |
| 10/05/25 Scotland League One Play-Offs | Annan Athletic | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Elgin |
| 06/05/25 Scotland League One Play-Offs | Elgin | 2-4 HT 2-4 | Annan Athletic |
Standings · Scotland League Two
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clyde | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Elgin | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Stranraer | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Spartans | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 6 | Forfar | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 7 | Annan Athletic | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 8 | Dumbarton | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 6 |
| 9 | Stirling | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Edinburgh | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Annan Athletic | Elgin |
|---|---|---|
| Kelty Hearts | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Dumbarton | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Edinburgh | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| Stranraer | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Spartans | 2-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Forfar | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Elgin (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Annan Athletic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
Elgin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Annan Athletic vs Elgin?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Elgin win (40%). Probabilities: Annan Athletic 33%, draw 27%, Elgin 40%.
How many goals are expected in Annan Athletic vs Elgin?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Annan Athletic 1.33 · Elgin 1.5), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Annan Athletic vs Elgin?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.