Football · Scotland League Two · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Stirling vs Spartans

Team pages: Stirling · Spartans

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Stirling1.46

Spartans1.79

1X2

30% 25% 44%

Stirling Draw Spartans

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Stirling 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDDWLLDL

Spartans 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDDWDLDD

Head-to-head

Stirling 2–3–1 Spartans (6 last)

Spartans1-3Stirling
Stirling2-2Spartans
Spartans2-0Stirling
Stirling1-1Spartans
Spartans1-3Stirling
Spartans0-0Stirling

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stirling 1453 · Spartans 1497

	Stirling	Draw	Spartans
Our model	31%	25%	45%
Market	30%	26%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartans (rating 1453 vs 1497).
H2H favours Stirling: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stirling	Spartans
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.2	2.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.3	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.4	2.7 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.50

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
01:04 +10’	3.00	3.50	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stirling 2–3–1 Spartans

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/07/26 Scotland League Cup	Spartans	1-3 HT 1-1	Stirling
02/05/26 Scotland League Two	Stirling	2-2 HT 0-0	Spartans
03/03/26 Scotland League Two	Spartans	2-0 HT 1-0	Stirling
13/12/25 Scotland League Two	Stirling	1-1 HT 0-0	Spartans
20/09/25 Scotland League Two	Spartans	1-3 HT 0-2	Stirling
08/03/25 Scotland League Two	Spartans	0-0 HT 0-0	Stirling

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elgin	5	3	2	0	17	5	11
2	Clyde	5	3	1	1	11	6	10
3	Forfar	5	2	2	1	6	5	8
4	Stranraer	5	2	1	2	6	6	7
5	Spartans	5	1	3	1	12	11	6
6	Annan Athletic	5	2	0	3	6	7	6
7	Kelty Hearts	5	2	0	3	7	10	6
8	Stirling	5	1	1	3	6	12	4
9	FC Edinburgh	5	2	2	1	7	8	3
10	Dumbarton	5	1	0	4	2	10	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stirling	Spartans
Elgin	0-4 L	3-3 D
Stranraer	2-2 D	0-1 L
Clyde	1-3 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Spartans (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stirling

LLDDDWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Elgin Scotland League Two	0-2	0-4	9	2	L
22/08	Stranraer Scotland League Two	0-2	2-2	9	5	D
15/08	Forfar Scotland League Two	0-2	0-3	5	3	L
08/08	Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two	0-2	2-3	3	9	L
01/08	Dumbarton Scotland League Two	1-0	2-0	7	6	W
02/05	Spartans Scotland League Two	0-0	2-2	3	2	D
25/04	Stranraer Scotland League Two	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
18/04	Elgin Scotland League Two	1-2	2-2	4	2	D
11/04	Dumbarton Scotland League Two	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
04/04	Clyde Scotland League Two	1-2	1-3	5	2	L

Spartans

WLWDDWDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Clyde Scotland League Two	0-1	3-3	10	5	D
22/08	Elgin Scotland League Two	1-2	3-3	2	5	D
15/08	Stranraer Scotland League Two	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
08/08	FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two	0-1	2-2	2	8	D
01/08	Annan Athletic Scotland League Two	0-1	4-2	4	7	W
02/05	Stirling Scotland League Two	0-0	2-2	9	2	D
25/04	Elgin Scotland League Two	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
18/04	Annan Athletic Scotland League Two	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
11/04	Stranraer Scotland League Two	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
04/04	FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two	0-0	3-0	11	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stirling vs Spartans?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Spartans win (44%). Probabilities: Stirling 30%, draw 25%, Spartans 44%.

How many goals are expected in Stirling vs Spartans?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Stirling 1.46 · Spartans 1.79), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stirling vs Spartans?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.