Football · Scotland League Two · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Spartans vs Forfar

Team pages: Spartans · Forfar

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Spartans1.82
Forfar1.12
1X2
53% 25% 22%
Spartans Draw Forfar
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Spartans 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
LWDDWDLDDW
Forfar 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WWWDWDWLDL
Head-to-head
Spartans 3–3–0 Forfar (6 last)
  • Forfar1-1Spartans
  • Spartans1-0Forfar
  • Forfar1-1Spartans
  • Spartans1-0Forfar
  • Forfar0-2Spartans
  • Spartans1-1Forfar
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Spartans 1528 · Forfar 1470
SpartansDrawForfar
Our model53%25%22%
Market53%25%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartans (rating 1528 vs 1470).
  • H2H favours Spartans: 3-3-0.
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SpartansForfar
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.61.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.41.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.13.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartans 330 Forfar

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/03/26
Scotland League Two
Forfar1-1
HT 1-1
Spartans
17/03/26
Scotland League Two
Spartans1-0
HT 1-0
Forfar
08/11/25
Scotland League Two
Forfar1-1
HT 1-0
Spartans
23/08/25
Scotland League Two
Spartans1-0
HT 0-0
Forfar
15/03/25
Scotland League Two
Forfar0-2
HT 0-0
Spartans
25/02/25
Scotland League Two
Spartans1-1
HT 0-1
Forfar

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Clyde 6411 14813
2 Elgin 6321 18711
3 Stranraer 6312 9610
4 Spartans 6231 14119
5 Kelty Hearts 6303 9119
6 Forfar 6222 688
7 Annan Athletic 6204 796
8 Dumbarton 6204 4116
9 Stirling 6114 6144
10 FC Edinburgh 6222 9113

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSpartansForfar
Stirling 2-0 W 3-0 W
Clyde 3-3 D 0-3 L
Elgin 3-3 D 1-1 D
Stranraer 0-1 L 0-3 L
FC Edinburgh 2-2 D 1-1 D
Annan Athletic 4-2 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 1 L 1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Spartans (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Spartans

LWDDWDLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Stirling
Scotland League Two
1-0 2-0 24 W
29/08 Clyde
Scotland League Two
0-1 3-3 105 D
22/08 Elgin
Scotland League Two
1-2 3-3 25 D
15/08 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
0-0 0-1 75 L
08/08 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-1 2-2 28 D
01/08 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
0-1 4-2 47 W
02/05 Stirling
Scotland League Two
0-0 2-2 92 D
25/04 Elgin
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-1 44 D
18/04 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
1-0 2-0 83 W
11/04 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-2 65 L

Forfar

WWWDWDWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
0-1 0-3 L
28/08 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-1 86 D
22/08 Clyde
Scotland League Two
0-2 0-3 42 L
15/08 Stirling
Scotland League Two
2-0 3-0 83 W
08/08 Elgin
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-1 55 D
01/08 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-0 41 W
02/05 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-1 82 D
25/04 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
2-0 4-0 80 W
18/04 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-0 17 W
11/04 East Kilbride
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-0 45 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Spartans vs Forfar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartans win (53%). Probabilities: Spartans 53%, draw 25%, Forfar 22%.

How many goals are expected in Spartans vs Forfar?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Spartans 1.82 · Forfar 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Spartans vs Forfar?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.