Football · Scotland League Two · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Annan Athletic vs Stranraer

Team pages: Annan Athletic · Stranraer

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Annan Athletic1.18
Stranraer1.24
1X2
34% 28% 37%
Annan Athletic Draw Stranraer
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Annan Athletic 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
DLWLLWLWLL
Stranraer 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLLWDWWWWD
Head-to-head
Annan Athletic 4–2–0 Stranraer (6 last)
  • Stranraer0-1Annan Athletic
  • Annan Athletic1-0Stranraer
  • Stranraer0-0Annan Athletic
  • Annan Athletic2-2Stranraer
  • Stranraer0-1Annan Athletic
  • Stranraer1-5Annan Athletic
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Annan Athletic 1494 · Stranraer 1532
Annan AthleticDrawStranraer
Our model33%30%36%
Market35%26%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Annan Athletic: 4-2-0.
  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Annan AthleticStranraer
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.21.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.73.1 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 04.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Annan Athletic 4–2–0 Stranraer

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/08/26
Scotland League Two
Stranraer0-1
HT 0-0
Annan Athletic
28/03/26
Scotland League Two
Annan Athletic1-0
HT 1-0
Stranraer
07/02/26
Scotland League Two
Stranraer0-0
HT 0-0
Annan Athletic
27/12/25
Scotland League Two
Annan Athletic2-2
HT 2-2
Stranraer
04/10/25
Scotland League Two
Stranraer0-1
HT 0-0
Annan Athletic
07/09/24
Scotland League Challenge Cup
Stranraer1-5
HT 1-3
Annan Athletic

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Stranraer 9522 17817
2 Clyde 9522 211617
3 Elgin 9423 251614
4 Spartans 9333 191712
5 Kelty Hearts 9405 131812
6 Dumbarton 9405 101512
7 Forfar 9324 91511
8 FC Edinburgh 9432 191510
9 Annan Athletic 9306 9119
10 Stirling 9225 11228

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAnnan AthleticStranraer
Stirling 0-1 L 2-2 D
Forfar 0-1 L 3-0 W
Elgin 2-0 W 5-1 W
Kelty Hearts 1-2 L 2-0 W
Dumbarton 2-0 W 3-1 W
FC Edinburgh 0-1 L 0-0 D
Clyde 1-2 L 1-3 L
Spartans 2-4 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 6 L 5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Stranraer (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Annan Athletic

DLWLLWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Stirling
Scotland League Two
0-0 0-1 57 L
19/09 Forfar
Scotland League Two
0-1 0-1 51 L
12/09 Elgin
Scotland League Two
1-0 2-0 10 W
05/09 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Two
0-1 1-2 63 L
29/08 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
0-0 2-0 53 W
22/08 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-0 0-1 47 L
15/08 Clyde
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-2 34 L
08/08 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-0 64 W
01/08 Spartans
Scotland League Two
1-0 2-4 77 L
02/05 Forfar
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-1 52 D

Stranraer

WLLWDWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-0 0-0 38 D
19/09 Elgin
Scotland League Two
3-1 5-1 53 W
12/09 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
0-1 3-1 93 W
05/09 Forfar
Scotland League Two
1-0 3-0 –– W
29/08 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Two
2-0 2-0 65 W
22/08 Stirling
Scotland League Two
2-0 2-2 85 D
15/08 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-0 105 W
08/08 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
0-0 0-1 54 L
01/08 Clyde
Scotland League Two
1-3 1-3 73 L
02/05 Elgin
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-0 73 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Annan Athletic vs Stranraer?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stranraer win (37%). Probabilities: Annan Athletic 34%, draw 28%, Stranraer 37%.

How many goals are expected in Annan Athletic vs Stranraer?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Annan Athletic 1.18 · Stranraer 1.24), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Annan Athletic vs Stranraer?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.