Football · Scotland League Two · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Kelty Hearts vs Forfar

Team pages: Kelty Hearts · Forfar

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Kelty Hearts1.71
Forfar1.17
1X2
49% 25% 25%
Kelty Hearts Draw Forfar
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Kelty Hearts 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LWLWLWLLWL
Forfar 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WDWLDLLWLL
Head-to-head
Kelty Hearts 2–2–2 Forfar (6 last)
  • Forfar1-0Kelty Hearts
  • Forfar1-2Kelty Hearts
  • Kelty Hearts1-1Forfar
  • Forfar1-0Kelty Hearts
  • Kelty Hearts1-0Forfar
  • Forfar2-2Kelty Hearts
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kelty Hearts 1477 · Forfar 1474
Kelty HeartsDrawForfar
Our model49%26%25%
Market50%25%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Kelty HeartsForfar
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 21 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.90.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/0/50%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.31.5 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 03 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kelty Hearts 2–2–2 Forfar

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/08/26
Scotland League Two
Forfar1-0
HT 1-0
Kelty Hearts
23/08/22
Scotland League Challenge Cup
Forfar1-2
HT 0-1
Kelty Hearts
23/04/22
Scotland League Two
Kelty Hearts1-1
HT 1-0
Forfar
19/02/22
Scotland League Two
Forfar1-0
HT 0-0
Kelty Hearts
13/11/21
Scotland League Two
Kelty Hearts1-0
HT 0-0
Forfar
14/08/21
Scotland League Two
Forfar2-2
HT 2-1
Kelty Hearts

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Stranraer 10622 23920
2 Clyde 10622 231720
3 Elgin 10523 271717
4 Spartans 10433 221815
5 Kelty Hearts 10406 142012
6 Dumbarton 10406 111712
7 Forfar 10325 101711
8 Stirling 10325 132311
9 FC Edinburgh 10433 201810
10 Annan Athletic 10307 10179

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKelty HeartsForfar
Stirling 1-2 L 3-0 W
Spartans 2-0 W 1-5 L
FC Edinburgh 1-3 L 1-1 D
Clyde 1-4 L 0-3 L
Annan Athletic 2-1 W 1-0 W
Stranraer 0-2 L 0-3 L
Dumbarton 3-1 W 1-2 L
Elgin 1-4 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 5 L 2 W 1 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kelty Hearts

LWLWLWLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Stirling
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-2 56 L
03/10 Spartans
Scotland League Two
1-0 2-0 93 W
19/09 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-3 1-3 16 L
12/09 Clyde
Scotland League Two
0-1 1-4 64 L
05/09 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
1-0 2-1 13 W
29/08 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
0-2 0-2 75 L
22/08 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
2-1 3-1 64 W
15/08 Elgin
Scotland League Two
0-1 1-4 43 L
08/08 Stirling
Scotland League Two
2-0 3-2 29 W
01/08 Forfar
Scotland League Two
0-1 0-1 21 L

Forfar

WDWLDLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Elgin
Scotland League Two
0-1 1-2 33 L
03/10 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-2 33 L
19/09 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-0 31 W
12/09 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-3 1-5 23 L
05/09 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
0-1 0-3 –– L
28/08 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-1 86 D
22/08 Clyde
Scotland League Two
0-2 0-3 42 L
15/08 Stirling
Scotland League Two
2-0 3-0 83 W
08/08 Elgin
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-1 55 D
01/08 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-0 41 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kelty Hearts vs Forfar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kelty Hearts win (49%). Probabilities: Kelty Hearts 49%, draw 25%, Forfar 25%.

How many goals are expected in Kelty Hearts vs Forfar?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Kelty Hearts 1.71 · Forfar 1.17), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kelty Hearts vs Forfar?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.