Prediction: Forfar vs Elgin
- Elgin1-1Forfar
- Forfar2-1Elgin
- Elgin2-0Forfar
- Forfar4-2Elgin
- Elgin2-1Forfar
- Elgin0-1Forfar
| Forfar | Draw | Elgin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 25% | 49% |
| Market | 26% | 25% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elgin (rating 1487 vs 1549).
- H2H favours Forfar: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Forfar | Elgin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 2.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Forfar 3–1–2 Elgin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Forfar |
| 04/04/26 Scotland League Two | Forfar | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Elgin |
| 24/03/26 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Forfar |
| 27/12/25 Scotland League Two | Forfar | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Elgin |
| 04/10/25 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Forfar |
| 08/03/25 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Forfar |
Standings · Scotland League Two
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Clyde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 17 |
| 3 | Elgin | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 14 |
| 4 | Spartans | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 12 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 12 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Edinburgh | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 10 |
| 9 | Annan Athletic | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Stirling | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Forfar | Elgin |
|---|---|---|
| Dumbarton | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Annan Athletic | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Spartans | 1-5 L | 3-3 D |
| Stranraer | 0-3 L | 1-5 L |
| FC Edinburgh | 1-1 D | 5-0 W |
| Clyde | 0-3 L | 6-2 W |
| Stirling | 3-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Kelty Hearts | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Elgin (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Forfar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
0-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/08 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
Elgin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 6-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
1-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Forfar vs Elgin?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Elgin win (50%). Probabilities: Forfar 25%, draw 25%, Elgin 50%.
How many goals are expected in Forfar vs Elgin?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Forfar 1.23 · Elgin 1.79), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Forfar vs Elgin?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.