Football · Scotland League Two · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: Dumbarton vs Stirling

Team pages: Dumbarton · Stirling

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
Dumbarton1.66
Stirling1.55
1X2
40% 25% 35%
Dumbarton Draw Stirling
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Dumbarton 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLLWLWWL
Stirling 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLLDLLLDWW
Head-to-head
Dumbarton 2–2–2 Stirling (6 last)
  • Stirling2-0Dumbarton
  • Dumbarton2-1Stirling
  • Stirling1-1Dumbarton
  • Dumbarton1-2Stirling
  • Stirling2-2Dumbarton
  • Dumbarton1-0Stirling
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dumbarton 1487 · Stirling 1488
DumbartonDrawStirling
Our model40%25%35%
Market40%25%35%
Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

DumbartonStirling
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.71.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.2 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 4.53 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.14.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dumbarton 2–2–2 Stirling

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/08/26
Scotland League Two
Stirling2-0
HT 1-0
Dumbarton
11/04/26
Scotland League Two
Dumbarton2-1
HT 1-0
Stirling
28/02/26
Scotland League Two
Stirling1-1
HT 1-0
Dumbarton
27/12/25
Scotland League Two
Dumbarton1-2
HT 0-1
Stirling
04/10/25
Scotland League Two
Stirling2-2
HT 1-1
Dumbarton
15/07/25
Scotland League Cup
Dumbarton1-0
HT 0-0
Stirling

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Stranraer 10622 23920
2 Clyde 10622 231720
3 Elgin 10523 271717
4 Spartans 10433 221815
5 Kelty Hearts 10406 142012
6 Dumbarton 10406 111712
7 Forfar 10325 101711
8 Stirling 10325 132311
9 FC Edinburgh 10433 201810
10 Annan Athletic 10307 10179

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDumbartonStirling
Clyde 1-2 L 1-1 D
Forfar 2-1 W 0-3 L
Spartans 3-0 W 0-2 L
Stranraer 1-3 L 2-2 D
Elgin 2-1 W 0-4 L
Annan Athletic 0-2 L 1-0 W
Kelty Hearts 1-3 L 2-1 W
FC Edinburgh 0-3 L 3-7 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 5 L 2 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dumbarton

LWLLLWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Clyde
Scotland League Two
0-2 1-2 15 L
03/10 Forfar
Scotland League Two
0-1 2-1 73 W
19/09 Spartans
Scotland League Two
1-0 3-0 54 W
12/09 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-3 33 L
05/09 Elgin
Scotland League Two
1-0 2-1 54 W
29/08 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
0-0 0-2 03 L
22/08 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Two
1-2 1-3 44 L
15/08 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-2 0-3 83 L
08/08 Clyde
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-0 45 W
01/08 Stirling
Scotland League Two
0-1 0-2 86 L

Stirling

WLLDLLLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Two
0-1 2-1 76 W
03/10 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-0 77 W
19/09 Clyde
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-1 36 D
12/09 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-5 3-7 50 L
05/09 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-1 0-2 44 L
29/08 Elgin
Scotland League Two
0-2 0-4 92 L
22/08 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
0-2 2-2 95 D
15/08 Forfar
Scotland League Two
0-2 0-3 53 L
08/08 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League Two
0-2 2-3 39 L
01/08 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
1-0 2-0 76 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dumbarton vs Stirling?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dumbarton win (40%). Probabilities: Dumbarton 40%, draw 25%, Stirling 35%.

How many goals are expected in Dumbarton vs Stirling?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Dumbarton 1.66 · Stirling 1.55), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dumbarton vs Stirling?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.