Football · Scotland League Two · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: FC Edinburgh vs Spartans

Team pages: FC Edinburgh · Spartans

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

FC Edinburgh1.45

Spartans1.55

1X2

35% 26% 39%

FC Edinburgh Draw Spartans

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Edinburgh 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWWDLWWD

Spartans 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLDDWWLL

Head-to-head

FC Edinburgh 1–2–3 Spartans (6 last)

Spartans2-2FC Edinburgh
FC Edinburgh0-3Spartans
Spartans0-0FC Edinburgh
FC Edinburgh1-3Spartans
Spartans0-1FC Edinburgh
Spartans3-1FC Edinburgh

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Edinburgh 1533 · Spartans 1499

	FC Edinburgh	Draw	Spartans
Our model	34%	26%	39%
Market	35%	25%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Spartans: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Edinburgh	Spartans
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.5	2.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.9	2.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
02:33 +6’	2.55	3.50	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Edinburgh 1–2–3 Spartans

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Scotland League Two	Spartans	2-2 HT 0-1	FC Edinburgh
04/04/26 Scotland League Two	FC Edinburgh	0-3 HT 0-0	Spartans
14/02/26 Scotland League Two	Spartans	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Edinburgh
27/12/25 Scotland League Two	FC Edinburgh	1-3 HT 1-2	Spartans
04/10/25 Scotland League Two	Spartans	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Edinburgh
03/05/25 Scotland League Two	Spartans	3-1 HT 1-0	FC Edinburgh

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stranraer	9	5	2	2	17	8	17
2	Clyde	9	5	2	2	21	16	17
3	Elgin	9	4	2	3	25	16	14
4	Spartans	9	3	3	3	19	17	12
5	Kelty Hearts	9	4	0	5	13	18	12
6	Dumbarton	9	4	0	5	10	15	12
7	Forfar	9	3	2	4	9	15	11
8	FC Edinburgh	9	4	3	2	19	15	10
9	Annan Athletic	9	3	0	6	9	11	9
10	Stirling	9	2	2	5	11	22	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Edinburgh	Spartans
Stranraer	0-0 D	0-1 L
Kelty Hearts	3-1 W	0-2 L
Stirling	7-3 W	2-0 W
Clyde	2-3 L	3-3 D
Forfar	1-1 D	5-1 W
Annan Athletic	1-0 W	4-2 W
Dumbarton	3-0 W	0-3 L
Elgin	0-5 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Edinburgh

WLDWWDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Stranraer Scotland League Two	0-0	0-0	0	8	D
19/09	Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two	3-0	3-1	2	6	W
12/09	Stirling Scotland League Two	5-0	7-3	5	0	W
05/09	Clyde Scotland League Two	1-0	2-3	6	6	L
28/08	Forfar Scotland League Two	0-0	1-1	10	6	D
22/08	Annan Athletic Scotland League Two	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
15/08	Dumbarton Scotland League Two	2-0	3-0	2	3	W
08/08	Spartans Scotland League Two	1-0	2-2	4	8	D
01/08	Elgin Scotland League Two	0-3	0-5	3	4	L
02/05	Dumbarton Scotland League Two	4-0	5-0	–	–	W

Spartans

DWDLDDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
19/09	Dumbarton Scotland League Two	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
12/09	Forfar Scotland League Two	3-0	5-1	5	3	W
05/09	Stirling Scotland League Two	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
29/08	Clyde Scotland League Two	0-1	3-3	10	5	D
22/08	Elgin Scotland League Two	1-2	3-3	2	5	D
15/08	Stranraer Scotland League Two	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
08/08	FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two	0-1	2-2	2	8	D
01/08	Annan Athletic Scotland League Two	0-1	4-2	4	7	W
02/05	Stirling Scotland League Two	0-0	2-2	9	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Edinburgh vs Spartans?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Spartans win (39%). Probabilities: FC Edinburgh 35%, draw 26%, Spartans 39%.

How many goals are expected in FC Edinburgh vs Spartans?

The model expects 3 goals (FC Edinburgh 1.45 · Spartans 1.55), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Edinburgh vs Spartans?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.