Prediction: Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts
Team pages: Annan Athletic · Kelty Hearts
- Kelty Hearts2-1Annan Athletic
- Kelty Hearts1-0Annan Athletic
- Annan Athletic2-1Kelty Hearts
- Kelty Hearts1-3Annan Athletic
- Annan Athletic0-2Kelty Hearts
- Kelty Hearts3-0Annan Athletic
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kelty Hearts (rating 1425 vs 1470).
- H2H favours Kelty Hearts: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Annan Athletic | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 2.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Annan Athletic 2–0–4 Kelty Hearts
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/26 Scotland League Two | Kelty Hearts | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Annan Athletic |
| 12/08/25 Scotland League Challenge Cup | Kelty Hearts | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Annan Athletic |
| 29/03/25 Scotland League One | Annan Athletic | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Kelty Hearts |
| 01/02/25 Scotland League One | Kelty Hearts | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Annan Athletic |
| 16/11/24 Scotland League One | Annan Athletic | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Kelty Hearts |
| 28/09/24 Scotland League One | Kelty Hearts | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Annan Athletic |
Standings · Scotland League Two
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Clyde | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 18 | 24 |
| 3 | Elgin | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 21 |
| 4 | Spartans | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 18 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 15 |
| 6 | Stirling | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 26 | 15 |
| 7 | FC Edinburgh | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 14 |
| 8 | Dumbarton | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 13 |
| 9 | Forfar | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 24 | 11 |
| 10 | Annan Athletic | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Annan Athletic | Kelty Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Spartans | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Clyde | 1-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Stranraer | 1-6 L | 0-2 L |
| Stirling | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Forfar | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Elgin | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Dumbarton | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| FC Edinburgh | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 6 L | 3 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Kelty Hearts (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Annan Athletic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 17/10 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Kelty Hearts
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 17/10 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/10 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Annan Athletic win (43%). Probabilities: Annan Athletic 43%, draw 26%, Kelty Hearts 30%.
How many goals are expected in Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Annan Athletic 1.55 · Kelty Hearts 1.26), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.