Prediction: Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer
Team pages: Kelty Hearts · Stranraer
- Stranraer2-0Kelty Hearts
- Kelty Hearts3-0Stranraer
- Kelty Hearts2-0Stranraer
- Stranraer0-3Kelty Hearts
- Kelty Hearts3-2Stranraer
- Stranraer0-4Kelty Hearts
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Stranraer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 25% | 45% |
| Market | 30% | 26% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stranraer (rating 1487 vs 1598).
- H2H favours Kelty Hearts: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kelty Hearts | Stranraer | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 2.6 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.6 | 2.9 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kelty Hearts 5–0–1 Stranraer
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 Scotland League Two | Stranraer | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Kelty Hearts |
| 06/09/25 Scotland League Challenge Cup | Kelty Hearts | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Stranraer |
| 25/07/23 Scotland League Cup | Kelty Hearts | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Stranraer |
| 16/04/22 Scotland League Two | Stranraer | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Kelty Hearts |
| 29/01/22 Scotland League Two | Kelty Hearts | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Stranraer |
| 18/12/21 Scotland League Two | Stranraer | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Kelty Hearts |
Standings · Scotland League Two
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Clyde | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 20 | 27 |
| 3 | Elgin | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 21 |
| 4 | Spartans | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 18 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 18 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 16 |
| 7 | FC Edinburgh | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 15 |
| 8 | Stirling | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 29 | 15 |
| 9 | Forfar | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 12 |
| 10 | Annan Athletic | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 26 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kelty Hearts | Stranraer |
|---|---|---|
| Annan Athletic | 2-1 W | 6-1 W |
| Elgin | 0-1 L | 5-1 W |
| Forfar | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Stirling | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Spartans | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| FC Edinburgh | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Clyde | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Dumbarton | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 4 L | 6 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Stranraer (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kelty Hearts
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 31/10 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 17/10 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/10 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Stranraer
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 31/10 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 17/10 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 6-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 19/09 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
3-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Stranraer win (45%). Probabilities: Kelty Hearts 30%, draw 25%, Stranraer 45%.
How many goals are expected in Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Kelty Hearts 1.42 · Stranraer 1.77), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.