Football · Scotland League Two · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Forfar vs Spartans

Team pages: Forfar · Spartans

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Forfar1.05

Spartans1.71

1X2

23% 25% 52%

Forfar Draw Spartans

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Forfar 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDLLWLLLLD

Spartans 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DDWWLLWLWL

Head-to-head

Forfar 0–2–4 Spartans (6 last)

Spartans5-1Forfar
Forfar1-1Spartans
Spartans1-0Forfar
Forfar1-1Spartans
Spartans1-0Forfar
Forfar0-2Spartans

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Forfar 1413 · Spartans 1506

	Forfar	Draw	Spartans
Our model	22%	26%	52%
Market	23%	24%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartans (rating 1413 vs 1506).
H2H favours Spartans: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Forfar	Spartans
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.4	2.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	1.6 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.70

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:19 +11’	3.90	3.70	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Forfar 0–2–4 Spartans

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 Scotland League Two	Spartans	5-1 HT 3-0	Forfar
21/03/26 Scotland League Two	Forfar	1-1 HT 1-1	Spartans
17/03/26 Scotland League Two	Spartans	1-0 HT 1-0	Forfar
08/11/25 Scotland League Two	Forfar	1-1 HT 1-0	Spartans
23/08/25 Scotland League Two	Spartans	1-0 HT 0-0	Forfar
15/03/25 Scotland League Two	Forfar	0-2 HT 0-0	Spartans

Standings · Scotland League Two

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stranraer	13	8	3	2	28	9	27
2	Clyde	13	8	3	2	30	20	27
3	Elgin	13	6	3	4	28	19	21
4	Spartans	13	5	3	5	27	25	18
5	Kelty Hearts	13	6	0	7	18	23	18
6	Dumbarton	13	5	1	7	15	20	16
7	FC Edinburgh	13	5	5	3	23	20	15
8	Stirling	13	4	3	6	19	29	15
9	Forfar	13	3	3	7	14	25	12
10	Annan Athletic	13	3	0	10	14	26	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Forfar	Spartans
FC Edinburgh	1-1 D	3-1 W
Stirling	2-5 L	2-0 W
Kelty Hearts	1-2 L	0-2 L
Elgin	1-2 L	3-3 D
Dumbarton	1-2 L	0-3 L
Annan Athletic	1-0 W	3-2 W
Stranraer	0-3 L	0-2 L
Clyde	0-3 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Spartans (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Forfar

LDLLWLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
31/10	Stirling Scotland League Two	2-3	2-5	5	2	L
17/10	Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
10/10	Elgin Scotland League Two	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
03/10	Dumbarton Scotland League Two	1-0	1-2	3	3	L
19/09	Annan Athletic Scotland League Two	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
12/09	Spartans Scotland League Two	0-3	1-5	2	3	L
05/09	Stranraer Scotland League Two	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
28/08	FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
22/08	Clyde Scotland League Two	0-2	0-3	4	2	L

Spartans

DDWWLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Clyde Scotland League Two	2-1	2-3	2	3	L
31/10	Annan Athletic Scotland League Two	1-1	3-2	6	6	W
17/10	Stranraer Scotland League Two	0-1	0-2	1	7	L
10/10	FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two	1-1	3-1	11	2	W
03/10	Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
19/09	Dumbarton Scotland League Two	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
12/09	Forfar Scotland League Two	3-0	5-1	5	3	W
05/09	Stirling Scotland League Two	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
29/08	Clyde Scotland League Two	0-1	3-3	10	5	D
22/08	Elgin Scotland League Two	1-2	3-3	2	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Forfar vs Spartans?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Spartans win (52%). Probabilities: Forfar 23%, draw 25%, Spartans 52%.

How many goals are expected in Forfar vs Spartans?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Forfar 1.05 · Spartans 1.71), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Forfar vs Spartans?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.