Prediction: Stirling vs Elgin
- Elgin4-0Stirling
- Stirling2-2Elgin
- Elgin1-0Stirling
- Elgin2-2Stirling
- Stirling1-1Elgin
- Elgin3-0Stirling
| Stirling | Draw | Elgin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 24% | 46% |
| Market | 29% | 25% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elgin (rating 1449 vs 1512).
- H2H favours Elgin: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stirling | Elgin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.3 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.6 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 2.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stirling 0–3–3 Elgin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Stirling |
| 18/04/26 Scotland League Two | Stirling | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Elgin |
| 21/02/26 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Stirling |
| 29/11/25 Scotland FA Cup | Elgin | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Stirling |
| 22/11/25 Scotland League Two | Stirling | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Elgin |
| 13/09/25 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Stirling |
Standings · Scotland League Two
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Clyde | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 20 | 27 |
| 3 | Elgin | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 21 |
| 4 | Spartans | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 18 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 18 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 16 |
| 7 | FC Edinburgh | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 15 |
| 8 | Stirling | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 29 | 15 |
| 9 | Forfar | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 12 |
| 10 | Annan Athletic | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 26 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stirling | Elgin |
|---|---|---|
| Stranraer | 0-3 L | 1-5 L |
| Forfar | 5-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Dumbarton | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Kelty Hearts | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Annan Athletic | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Clyde | 1-1 D | 6-2 W |
| FC Edinburgh | 3-7 L | 0-0 D |
| Spartans | 0-2 L | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Stirling (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stirling
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 31/10 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
3-2 | 5-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-5 | 3-7 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
Elgin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 31/10 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 6-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
1-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stirling vs Elgin?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Elgin win (46%). Probabilities: Stirling 29%, draw 25%, Elgin 46%.
How many goals are expected in Stirling vs Elgin?
The model expects 3.37 goals (Stirling 1.48 · Elgin 1.89), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Stirling vs Elgin?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.