Prediction: Stranraer vs Stirling
Team pages: Stranraer · Stirling
- Stirling2-2Stranraer
- Stranraer1-1Stirling
- Stirling1-1Stranraer
- Stranraer3-2Stirling
- Stirling1-0Stranraer
- Stirling3-1Stranraer
| Stranraer | Draw | Stirling | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 21% | 22% |
| Market | 56% | 23% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stranraer (rating 1602 vs 1453).
- H2H favours Stirling: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stranraer | Stirling | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.5 | 1.5 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.2 | 2.8 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stranraer 1–3–2 Stirling
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/26 Scotland League Two | Stirling | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Stranraer |
| 25/04/26 Scotland League Two | Stranraer | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Stirling |
| 31/01/26 Scotland League Two | Stirling | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Stranraer |
| 06/12/25 Scotland League Two | Stranraer | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Stirling |
| 30/08/25 Scotland League Two | Stirling | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Stranraer |
| 12/04/25 Scotland League Two | Stirling | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Stranraer |
Standings · Scotland League Two
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Clyde | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 18 | 24 |
| 3 | Elgin | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 21 |
| 4 | Spartans | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 18 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 15 |
| 6 | Stirling | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 26 | 15 |
| 7 | FC Edinburgh | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 14 |
| 8 | Dumbarton | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 13 |
| 9 | Forfar | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 24 | 11 |
| 10 | Annan Athletic | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stranraer | Stirling |
|---|---|---|
| Clyde | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Spartans | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Annan Athletic | 6-1 W | 1-0 W |
| FC Edinburgh | 0-0 D | 3-7 L |
| Elgin | 5-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Dumbarton | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Forfar | 3-0 W | 5-2 W |
| Kelty Hearts | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Stranraer (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stranraer
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 17/10 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 6-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 19/09 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
3-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
Stirling
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
3-2 | 5-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-5 | 3-7 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stranraer vs Stirling?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stranraer win (56%). Probabilities: Stranraer 56%, draw 22%, Stirling 22%.
How many goals are expected in Stranraer vs Stirling?
The model expects 3.84 goals (Stranraer 2.37 · Stirling 1.47), with a 59% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Stranraer vs Stirling?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.