Football · Scotland League One · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Montrose vs Cove Rangers

Team pages: Montrose · Cove Rangers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Montrose1.7
Cove Rangers1.24
1X2
47% 26% 27%
Montrose Draw Cove Rangers
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Montrose 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLDLLLLWWW
Cove Rangers 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LWWDDLLWLD
Head-to-head
Montrose 0–3–3 Cove Rangers (6 last)
  • Montrose2-3Cove Rangers
  • Cove Rangers3-1Montrose
  • Montrose0-3Cove Rangers
  • Cove Rangers3-3Montrose
  • Montrose2-2Cove Rangers
  • Cove Rangers1-1Montrose
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Montrose 1497 · Cove Rangers 1479
MontroseDrawCove Rangers
Our model47%26%27%
Market47%26%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Cove Rangers: 3-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MontroseCove Rangers
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 20.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.41.9 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 03.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Montrose 033 Cove Rangers

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/04/26
Scotland League One
Montrose2-3
HT 0-1
Cove Rangers
17/02/26
Scotland League One
Cove Rangers3-1
HT 2-0
Montrose
25/10/25
Scotland League One
Montrose0-3
HT 0-1
Cove Rangers
16/08/25
Scotland League One
Cove Rangers3-3
HT 2-1
Montrose
15/03/25
Scotland League One
Montrose2-2
HT 0-0
Cove Rangers
11/02/25
Scotland League One
Cove Rangers1-1
HT 0-0
Montrose

Standings · Scotland League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Hamilton 6510 12016
2 Ross County 5410 12413
3 Alloa 6231 739
4 Montrose 6303 9119
5 East Fife 6141 547
6 East Kilbride 6213 9107
7 Peterhead 6213 497
8 Cove Rangers 6123 475
9 Queen of South 5104 4113
10 Airdrieonians 6033 3103

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMontroseCove Rangers
Peterhead 3-0 W 3-0 W
Queen of South 2-1 W 0-2 L
East Kilbride 3-0 W 0-3 L
Alloa 0-3 L 1-1 D
Hamilton 0-5 L 0-1 L
Stenhousemuir 0-2 L 2-0 W
Kelty Hearts 1-3 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 4 L 3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cove Rangers (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Montrose

LLDLLLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Peterhead
Scotland League One
2-0 3-0 05 W
29/08 Queen of South
Scotland League One
1-0 2-1 47 W
22/08 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
2-0 3-0 15 W
15/08 Alloa
Scotland League One
0-2 0-3 54 L
08/08 Ross County
Scotland League One
1-1 1-2 47 L
01/08 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-2 0-5 40 L
02/05 Stenhousemuir
Scotland League One
0-1 0-2 73 L
25/04 Queen of South
Scotland League One
1-0 2-2 24 D
18/04 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-1 0-2 51 L
11/04 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League One
0-0 1-3 24 L

Cove Rangers

LWWDDLLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Alloa
Scotland League One
1-0 1-1 46 D
29/08 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-1 0-1 33 L
22/08 Peterhead
Scotland League One
0-0 3-0 34 W
15/08 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
0-0 0-3 25 L
08/08 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-0 0-2 31 L
01/08 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
0-0 0-0 45 D
02/05 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-0 0-0 20 D
25/04 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League One
2-0 2-0 25 W
18/04 Stenhousemuir
Scotland League One
1-0 2-0 46 W
11/04 Queen of South
Scotland League One
0-0 0-2 52 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Montrose vs Cove Rangers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Montrose win (47%). Probabilities: Montrose 47%, draw 26%, Cove Rangers 27%.

How many goals are expected in Montrose vs Cove Rangers?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Montrose 1.7 · Cove Rangers 1.24), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Montrose vs Cove Rangers?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.