Football · Scotland League One · 01/08, 16:00
Prediction: Alloa vs East Fife
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Alloa1.32
East Fife1.1
1X2
Alloa
Draw
East Fife
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Alloa
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
East Fife
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Alloa
3–3–0
East Fife
(6 last)
- Alloa2-0East Fife
- East Fife0-2Alloa
- Alloa1-1East Fife
- East Fife0-1Alloa
- Alloa0-0East Fife
- Alloa1-1East Fife
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alloa 1478 · East Fife 1496
| Alloa | Draw | East Fife | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Alloa: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alloa | East Fife | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.2 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.8 | 1.7 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alloa 3–3–0 East Fife
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Scotland League One | Alloa | 2-0 HT 1-0 | East Fife |
| 28/02/26 Scotland League One | East Fife | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Alloa |
| 18/10/25 Scotland League One | Alloa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | East Fife |
| 09/08/25 Scotland League One | East Fife | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Alloa |
| 16/07/24 Scotland League Cup | Alloa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | East Fife |
| 12/07/22 Scotland League Cup | Alloa | 1-1 HT 1-0 | East Fife |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Airdrieonians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Alloa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cove Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | East Fife | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | East Kilbride | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hamilton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montrose | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Peterhead | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Queen of South | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ross County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alloa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Ayr Scotland League Cup |
0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 21/07 | Falkirk Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Stranraer Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 14/07 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 30/06 | Livingston UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 11 | W |
| 13/05 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Airdrieonians Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Airdrieonians Scotland Championship Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-1 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
East Fife
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | St Johnstone Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 21/07 | Linlithgow Rose Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Morton Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Inverness CT Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Inverness CT Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Stenhousemuir Scotland League One |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alloa vs East Fife?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alloa win (41%). Probabilities: Alloa 41%, draw 28%, East Fife 31%.
How many goals are expected in Alloa vs East Fife?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Alloa 1.32 · East Fife 1.1), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Alloa vs East Fife?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.